Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts for Seattle indicate a high near 77–79°F on August 19 under continued mild, dry conditions with light onshore flow and no strong thermal trough or marine push. This aligns with the market's leading 78–79°F outcome at 45.5% implied probability, followed by 76–77°F. Late-August climatology shows average highs declining from 79°F early in the month toward 75°F, with typical ranges rarely exceeding 82°F or falling below 72°F absent unusual ridging or offshore flow. Model consensus remains stable through the short term, though minor shifts in upper-level heights could adjust the peak by a degree or two before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日西雅圖的最高溫度?
78-79°F 46%
76-77°F 25%
80-81°F 19%
74-75°F 10%
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
46%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 46%
76-77°F 25%
80-81°F 19%
74-75°F 10%
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
46%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts for Seattle indicate a high near 77–79°F on August 19 under continued mild, dry conditions with light onshore flow and no strong thermal trough or marine push. This aligns with the market's leading 78–79°F outcome at 45.5% implied probability, followed by 76–77°F. Late-August climatology shows average highs declining from 79°F early in the month toward 75°F, with typical ranges rarely exceeding 82°F or falling below 72°F absent unusual ridging or offshore flow. Model consensus remains stable through the short term, though minor shifts in upper-level heights could adjust the peak by a degree or two before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions