Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms are suppressing peak solar heating in Hong Kong, positioning 31–32°C as the leading market outcomes for August 22 maximum temperature. Recent ensemble guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicates highs near 31–32°C amid high humidity and northeasterly flow typical of late-summer monsoon conditions, limiting diurnal temperature range. These readings align closely with August climatology, where average highs reach 31–32°C, though above-normal seasonal temperatures could support brief spikes if afternoon clearing occurs. Traders weigh model consensus on moisture influx and steering patterns against the potential for localized intensification before the observation window closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日香港最高溫度?
31°C 39%
32°C 29%
30°C 21%
33°C 7%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
21%
31°C
39%
32°C
29%
33°C
7%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 39%
32°C 29%
30°C 21%
33°C 7%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
21%
31°C
39%
32°C
29%
33°C
7%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms are suppressing peak solar heating in Hong Kong, positioning 31–32°C as the leading market outcomes for August 22 maximum temperature. Recent ensemble guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicates highs near 31–32°C amid high humidity and northeasterly flow typical of late-summer monsoon conditions, limiting diurnal temperature range. These readings align closely with August climatology, where average highs reach 31–32°C, though above-normal seasonal temperatures could support brief spikes if afternoon clearing occurs. Traders weigh model consensus on moisture influx and steering patterns against the potential for localized intensification before the observation window closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions