Persistent cloudy conditions and a broad trough of low pressure over southern China have maintained elevated overnight humidity and limited radiative cooling, anchoring Hong Kong Observatory minimum temperatures near 27 °C on 22 August. Official forecasts and multi-model consensus place the daily low in the 27–28 °C range, consistent with late-August climatology where average overnight minima hover around 27 °C amid typical monsoon moisture. Trader consensus at 97 % implied probability for exactly 27 °C reflects this stable pattern and the narrow historical variance in similar synoptic setups. A rapid clearing of cloud cover or an unexpected influx of drier northerly flow could allow temperatures to dip to 26 °C, though current model runs show low likelihood of such shifts before midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日香港最低溫度?
27°C 98%
26°C 3%
25°C 2%
24°C <1%
$35,736 交易量
$35,736 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
98%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
27°C 98%
26°C 3%
25°C 2%
24°C <1%
$35,736 交易量
$35,736 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
98%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloudy conditions and a broad trough of low pressure over southern China have maintained elevated overnight humidity and limited radiative cooling, anchoring Hong Kong Observatory minimum temperatures near 27 °C on 22 August. Official forecasts and multi-model consensus place the daily low in the 27–28 °C range, consistent with late-August climatology where average overnight minima hover around 27 °C amid typical monsoon moisture. Trader consensus at 97 % implied probability for exactly 27 °C reflects this stable pattern and the narrow historical variance in similar synoptic setups. A rapid clearing of cloud cover or an unexpected influx of drier northerly flow could allow temperatures to dip to 26 °C, though current model runs show low likelihood of such shifts before midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions