**Trader consensus on a 28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 24 rests on post-event confirmation from Hong Kong Observatory observations.** Overnight temperatures held steady near 28°C under cloudy skies with light rain and showers, limiting radiative cooling and diurnal temperature range in the subtropical maritime climate. Multiple independent records, including hourly data showing no dip below this threshold amid 70–95% relative humidity and southwesterly flow, align precisely with the market-implied outcome. Realistic challenges would require revised official HKO station data revealing a brief localized drop or measurement discrepancies across sites, though current verified readings and climatological norms for late August make such revisions improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日香港最低溫度？
8月24日香港最低溫度？
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$39,604 交易量
$39,604 交易量
2026-08-24
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$39,604 交易量
$39,604 交易量
2026-08-24
21°C or below
$130 交易量
No
22°C
$120 交易量
No
23°C
$210 交易量
No
24°C
$1,561 交易量
No
25°C
$2,132 交易量
No
26°C
$5,645 交易量
No
27°C
$5,177 交易量
No
28°C
$14,389 交易量
Yes
29°C
$9,196 交易量
No
30°C
$915 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$130 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on a 28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 24 rests on post-event confirmation from Hong Kong Observatory observations.** Overnight temperatures held steady near 28°C under cloudy skies with light rain and showers, limiting radiative cooling and diurnal temperature range in the subtropical maritime climate. Multiple independent records, including hourly data showing no dip below this threshold amid 70–95% relative humidity and southwesterly flow, align precisely with the market-implied outcome. Realistic challenges would require revised official HKO station data revealing a brief localized drop or measurement discrepancies across sites, though current verified readings and climatological norms for late August make such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$39,604結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on a 28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 24 rests on post-event confirmation from Hong Kong Observatory observations.** Overnight temperatures held steady near 28°C under cloudy skies with light rain and showers, limiting radiative cooling and diurnal temperature range in the subtropical maritime climate. Multiple independent records, including hourly data showing no dip below this threshold amid 70–95% relative humidity and southwesterly flow, align precisely with the market-implied outcome. Realistic challenges would require revised official HKO station data revealing a brief localized drop or measurement discrepancies across sites, though current verified readings and climatological norms for late August make such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$39,604結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Trader consensus on a 28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 24 rests on post-event confirmation from Hong Kong Observatory observations.** Overnight temperatures held steady near 28°C under cloudy skies with light rain and showers, limiting radiative cooling and diurnal temperature range in the subtropical maritime climate. Multiple independent records, including hourly data showing no dip below this threshold amid 70–95% relative humidity and southwesterly flow, align precisely with the market-implied outcome. Realistic challenges would require revised official HKO station data revealing a brief localized drop or measurement discrepancies across sites, though current verified readings and climatological norms for late August make such revisions improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions