**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum air temperature of 25°C on September 3, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 99.8% implied probability for that outcome.** This aligns with the station's standard overnight low under typical early-September conditions, featuring light winds, moderate humidity around 80%, and no significant frontal passages or typhoon influences to alter the diurnal range. Historical climatology places average September minima near 24–26°C at the observatory, providing context for the result. Realistic challenges remain limited to potential data revisions from quality control or discrepancies across regional stations, though the primary observatory reading governs resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日香港最低溫度？
9月3日香港最低溫度？
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$20,964 交易量
$20,964 交易量
2026-09-03
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$20,964 交易量
$20,964 交易量
2026-09-03
20°C or below
$474 交易量
No
21°C
$463 交易量
No
22°C
$787 交易量
No
23°C
$1,539 交易量
No
24°C
$2,170 交易量
No
25°C
$4,199 交易量
Yes
26°C
$6,096 交易量
No
27°C
$2,322 交易量
No
28°C
$1,396 交易量
No
29°C
$1,047 交易量
No
30°C or higher
$470 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum air temperature of 25°C on September 3, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 99.8% implied probability for that outcome.**
This aligns with the station's standard overnight low under typical early-September conditions, featuring light winds, moderate humidity around 80%, and no significant frontal passages or typhoon influences to alter the diurnal range. Historical climatology places average September minima near 24–26°C at the observatory, providing context for the result.
Realistic challenges remain limited to potential data revisions from quality control or discrepancies across regional stations, though the primary observatory reading governs resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$20,964結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum air temperature of 25°C on September 3, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 99.8% implied probability for that outcome.**
This aligns with the station's standard overnight low under typical early-September conditions, featuring light winds, moderate humidity around 80%, and no significant frontal passages or typhoon influences to alter the diurnal range. Historical climatology places average September minima near 24–26°C at the observatory, providing context for the result.
Realistic challenges remain limited to potential data revisions from quality control or discrepancies across regional stations, though the primary observatory reading governs resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$20,964結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum air temperature of 25°C on September 3, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 99.8% implied probability for that outcome.** This aligns with the station's standard overnight low under typical early-September conditions, featuring light winds, moderate humidity around 80%, and no significant frontal passages or typhoon influences to alter the diurnal range. Historical climatology places average September minima near 24–26°C at the observatory, providing context for the result. Realistic challenges remain limited to potential data revisions from quality control or discrepancies across regional stations, though the primary observatory reading governs resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions