**Market-implied odds strongly favor 26°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 31, 2026, reflecting official observational data and late-summer climatology.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers associated with a broad trough and tropical moisture maintained overnight radiative cooling at modest levels, preventing the mercury from falling below 26°C at the Hong Kong Observatory. This aligns with typical August minima near 26–27°C under similar disturbed conditions, where enhanced mixing and latent heat release from rain suppress sharp nocturnal drops. Real-time station readings and model consensus corroborated this range throughout the day, producing near-certainty among traders with capital at risk. A realistic challenge would require an unreported localized dip to 24°C at the primary reference station—possible only under clearer skies or revised HKO quality control—but current evidence from multiple automated sites shows no such deviation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日香港最低溫度？
8月31日香港最低溫度？
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$23,002 交易量
$23,002 交易量
2026-08-31
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$23,002 交易量
$23,002 交易量
2026-08-31
21°C or below
$298 交易量
No
22°C
$298 交易量
No
23°C
$1,277 交易量
No
24°C
$1,482 交易量
No
25°C
$5,304 交易量
No
26°C
$7,042 交易量
Yes
27°C
$4,875 交易量
No
28°C
$1,379 交易量
No
29°C
$420 交易量
No
30°C
$298 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$331 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Market-implied odds strongly favor 26°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 31, 2026, reflecting official observational data and late-summer climatology.**
Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers associated with a broad trough and tropical moisture maintained overnight radiative cooling at modest levels, preventing the mercury from falling below 26°C at the Hong Kong Observatory. This aligns with typical August minima near 26–27°C under similar disturbed conditions, where enhanced mixing and latent heat release from rain suppress sharp nocturnal drops. Real-time station readings and model consensus corroborated this range throughout the day, producing near-certainty among traders with capital at risk.
A realistic challenge would require an unreported localized dip to 24°C at the primary reference station—possible only under clearer skies or revised HKO quality control—but current evidence from multiple automated sites shows no such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$23,002結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Market-implied odds strongly favor 26°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 31, 2026, reflecting official observational data and late-summer climatology.**
Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers associated with a broad trough and tropical moisture maintained overnight radiative cooling at modest levels, preventing the mercury from falling below 26°C at the Hong Kong Observatory. This aligns with typical August minima near 26–27°C under similar disturbed conditions, where enhanced mixing and latent heat release from rain suppress sharp nocturnal drops. Real-time station readings and model consensus corroborated this range throughout the day, producing near-certainty among traders with capital at risk.
A realistic challenge would require an unreported localized dip to 24°C at the primary reference station—possible only under clearer skies or revised HKO quality control—but current evidence from multiple automated sites shows no such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$23,002結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Market-implied odds strongly favor 26°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 31, 2026, reflecting official observational data and late-summer climatology.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers associated with a broad trough and tropical moisture maintained overnight radiative cooling at modest levels, preventing the mercury from falling below 26°C at the Hong Kong Observatory. This aligns with typical August minima near 26–27°C under similar disturbed conditions, where enhanced mixing and latent heat release from rain suppress sharp nocturnal drops. Real-time station readings and model consensus corroborated this range throughout the day, producing near-certainty among traders with capital at risk. A realistic challenge would require an unreported localized dip to 24°C at the primary reference station—possible only under clearer skies or revised HKO quality control—but current evidence from multiple automated sites shows no such deviation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions