Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Moscow on August 24 most likely between 12–14°C, driven by a shift to westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and modest precipitation chances that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Historical August lows average near 12°C, providing climatological context, while the current setup shows a cooling trend from prior days with daytime highs projected around 19–21°C. Model spreads introduce uncertainty in exact overnight minima, supporting elevated market-implied odds for outcomes at or below 9°C alongside the consensus range. Updated guidance from agencies like the Hydrometeorological Center will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日莫斯科最低溫度？
8月24日莫斯科最低溫度？
9°C或以下 94%
19°C或更高 93%
16°C 37%
17°C 37%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
9°C或以下
94%
10°C
19%
11°C
19%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
37%
17°C
37%
18°C
37%
19°C或更高
93%
9°C或以下 94%
19°C或更高 93%
16°C 37%
17°C 37%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
9°C或以下
$5 交易量
94%
10°C
$0 交易量
19%
11°C
$0 交易量
19%
12°C
$0 交易量
19%
13°C
$0 交易量
19%
14°C
$0 交易量
19%
15°C
$4 交易量
19%
16°C
$5 交易量
37%
17°C
$5 交易量
37%
18°C
$5 交易量
37%
19°C或更高
$5 交易量
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Moscow on August 24 most likely between 12–14°C, driven by a shift to westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and modest precipitation chances that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Historical August lows average near 12°C, providing climatological context, while the current setup shows a cooling trend from prior days with daytime highs projected around 19–21°C. Model spreads introduce uncertainty in exact overnight minima, supporting elevated market-implied odds for outcomes at or below 9°C alongside the consensus range. Updated guidance from agencies like the Hydrometeorological Center will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
交易量
$29結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Moscow on August 24 most likely between 12–14°C, driven by a shift to westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and modest precipitation chances that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Historical August lows average near 12°C, providing climatological context, while the current setup shows a cooling trend from prior days with daytime highs projected around 19–21°C. Model spreads introduce uncertainty in exact overnight minima, supporting elevated market-implied odds for outcomes at or below 9°C alongside the consensus range. Updated guidance from agencies like the Hydrometeorological Center will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$29結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Moscow on August 24 most likely between 12–14°C, driven by a shift to westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and modest precipitation chances that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Historical August lows average near 12°C, providing climatological context, while the current setup shows a cooling trend from prior days with daytime highs projected around 19–21°C. Model spreads introduce uncertainty in exact overnight minima, supporting elevated market-implied odds for outcomes at or below 9°C alongside the consensus range. Updated guidance from agencies like the Hydrometeorological Center will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions