**Forecast models from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles converge on an afternoon maximum of 19–21°C in Moscow on August 24 under mostly stable late-summer conditions.** Light northwest winds, modest moisture, and variable cloud cover are expected to limit daytime heating while preventing sharp extremes. This aligns with the climatological decline in August highs, which typically fall from ~23°C early in the month to 20–21°C by the final week. Current observations show Moscow running near or slightly below seasonal norms, with no strong warm advection or blocking high indicated in the latest runs. The market’s concentration on 19–20°C (66.5% combined) reflects this tight model consensus and historical precedent for modest variability around the mean. Updated guidance ahead of the 24th could shift probabilities if a clearer or windier pattern emerges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日莫斯科最高溫度？
8月24日莫斯科最高溫度？
20°C 39%
19°C 28%
18°C 24%
21°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
15°C或以下
4%
16°C
13%
17°C
10%
18°C
24%
19°C
28%
20°C
39%
21°C
15%
22°C
11%
23°C
7%
24°C
2%
25°C或以上
3%
20°C 39%
19°C 28%
18°C 24%
21°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
15°C或以下
$10 交易量
4%
16°C
$10 交易量
13%
17°C
$0 交易量
10%
18°C
$26 交易量
24%
19°C
$0 交易量
28%
20°C
$51 交易量
39%
21°C
$0 交易量
15%
22°C
$20 交易量
11%
23°C
$10 交易量
7%
24°C
$5 交易量
2%
25°C或以上
$5 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles converge on an afternoon maximum of 19–21°C in Moscow on August 24 under mostly stable late-summer conditions.** Light northwest winds, modest moisture, and variable cloud cover are expected to limit daytime heating while preventing sharp extremes.
This aligns with the climatological decline in August highs, which typically fall from ~23°C early in the month to 20–21°C by the final week. Current observations show Moscow running near or slightly below seasonal norms, with no strong warm advection or blocking high indicated in the latest runs. The market’s concentration on 19–20°C (66.5% combined) reflects this tight model consensus and historical precedent for modest variability around the mean. Updated guidance ahead of the 24th could shift probabilities if a clearer or windier pattern emerges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
交易量
$137結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles converge on an afternoon maximum of 19–21°C in Moscow on August 24 under mostly stable late-summer conditions.** Light northwest winds, modest moisture, and variable cloud cover are expected to limit daytime heating while preventing sharp extremes.
This aligns with the climatological decline in August highs, which typically fall from ~23°C early in the month to 20–21°C by the final week. Current observations show Moscow running near or slightly below seasonal norms, with no strong warm advection or blocking high indicated in the latest runs. The market’s concentration on 19–20°C (66.5% combined) reflects this tight model consensus and historical precedent for modest variability around the mean. Updated guidance ahead of the 24th could shift probabilities if a clearer or windier pattern emerges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$137結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles converge on an afternoon maximum of 19–21°C in Moscow on August 24 under mostly stable late-summer conditions.** Light northwest winds, modest moisture, and variable cloud cover are expected to limit daytime heating while preventing sharp extremes. This aligns with the climatological decline in August highs, which typically fall from ~23°C early in the month to 20–21°C by the final week. Current observations show Moscow running near or slightly below seasonal norms, with no strong warm advection or blocking high indicated in the latest runs. The market’s concentration on 19–20°C (66.5% combined) reflects this tight model consensus and historical precedent for modest variability around the mean. Updated guidance ahead of the 24th could shift probabilities if a clearer or windier pattern emerges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions