Recent forecasts from South African Weather Service and AccuWeather models point to a typical mid-winter regime in Cape Town, with maximum temperatures near the long-term August average of 19°C under the moderating influence of the cold Benguela Current and stable high-pressure patterns. This keeps daytime heating limited despite partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, aligning trader consensus around 18–19°C as the most probable outcomes. No major cold fronts or heat intrusions are expected in the next 48 hours to shift the range significantly, though ensemble models show minor variability from coastal fog or wind changes that could nudge the high by 1°C. Updated guidance ahead of the 24th will refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日開普敦最高溫度？
8月24日開普敦最高溫度？
19°C 44%
18°C 31%
20°C 15%
21°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
8%
17°C
9%
18°C
31%
19°C
44%
20°C
15%
21°C
10%
22°C
8%
23°C或更高
1%
19°C 44%
18°C 31%
20°C 15%
21°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
13°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
14°C
$0 交易量
<1%
15°C
$0 交易量
2%
16°C
$0 交易量
8%
17°C
$0 交易量
9%
18°C
$145 交易量
31%
19°C
$20 交易量
44%
20°C
$37 交易量
15%
21°C
$0 交易量
10%
22°C
$20 交易量
8%
23°C或更高
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from South African Weather Service and AccuWeather models point to a typical mid-winter regime in Cape Town, with maximum temperatures near the long-term August average of 19°C under the moderating influence of the cold Benguela Current and stable high-pressure patterns. This keeps daytime heating limited despite partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, aligning trader consensus around 18–19°C as the most probable outcomes. No major cold fronts or heat intrusions are expected in the next 48 hours to shift the range significantly, though ensemble models show minor variability from coastal fog or wind changes that could nudge the high by 1°C. Updated guidance ahead of the 24th will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ET
交易量
$227結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from South African Weather Service and AccuWeather models point to a typical mid-winter regime in Cape Town, with maximum temperatures near the long-term August average of 19°C under the moderating influence of the cold Benguela Current and stable high-pressure patterns. This keeps daytime heating limited despite partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, aligning trader consensus around 18–19°C as the most probable outcomes. No major cold fronts or heat intrusions are expected in the next 48 hours to shift the range significantly, though ensemble models show minor variability from coastal fog or wind changes that could nudge the high by 1°C. Updated guidance ahead of the 24th will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$227結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from South African Weather Service and AccuWeather models point to a typical mid-winter regime in Cape Town, with maximum temperatures near the long-term August average of 19°C under the moderating influence of the cold Benguela Current and stable high-pressure patterns. This keeps daytime heating limited despite partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, aligning trader consensus around 18–19°C as the most probable outcomes. No major cold fronts or heat intrusions are expected in the next 48 hours to shift the range significantly, though ensemble models show minor variability from coastal fog or wind changes that could nudge the high by 1°C. Updated guidance ahead of the 24th will refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions