Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate indicate a potential overnight low near 12–14°C for Munich on August 24, with daytime highs around 22–25°C under mostly clear to scattered-cloud conditions. This narrow range near seasonal norms—driven by radiative cooling under light easterly winds, moderate humidity, and the absence of strong frontal systems—explains why trader-implied odds split nearly evenly between sub-7°C and 16°C+ outcomes. Ensemble variability in European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs introduces uncertainty around boundary-layer mixing and any late-day cloud cover that could suppress minimums, while historical August lows average 13°C with rare excursions below 8°C. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日慕尼黑最低溫度？
8月24日慕尼黑最低溫度？
16°C or higher 94%
6°C or below 90%
7°C 28%
8°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
6°C or below
90%
7°C
28%
8°C
28%
9°C
25%
10°C
24%
11°C
24%
12°C
25%
13°C
25%
14°C
24%
15°C
7%
16°C or higher
94%
16°C or higher 94%
6°C or below 90%
7°C 28%
8°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
6°C or below
$5 交易量
90%
7°C
$0 交易量
28%
8°C
$0 交易量
28%
9°C
$0 交易量
25%
10°C
$0 交易量
24%
11°C
$0 交易量
24%
12°C
$0 交易量
25%
13°C
$0 交易量
25%
14°C
$0 交易量
24%
15°C
$5 交易量
7%
16°C or higher
$5 交易量
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate indicate a potential overnight low near 12–14°C for Munich on August 24, with daytime highs around 22–25°C under mostly clear to scattered-cloud conditions. This narrow range near seasonal norms—driven by radiative cooling under light easterly winds, moderate humidity, and the absence of strong frontal systems—explains why trader-implied odds split nearly evenly between sub-7°C and 16°C+ outcomes. Ensemble variability in European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs introduces uncertainty around boundary-layer mixing and any late-day cloud cover that could suppress minimums, while historical August lows average 13°C with rare excursions below 8°C. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
交易量
$15結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate indicate a potential overnight low near 12–14°C for Munich on August 24, with daytime highs around 22–25°C under mostly clear to scattered-cloud conditions. This narrow range near seasonal norms—driven by radiative cooling under light easterly winds, moderate humidity, and the absence of strong frontal systems—explains why trader-implied odds split nearly evenly between sub-7°C and 16°C+ outcomes. Ensemble variability in European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs introduces uncertainty around boundary-layer mixing and any late-day cloud cover that could suppress minimums, while historical August lows average 13°C with rare excursions below 8°C. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate indicate a potential overnight low near 12–14°C for Munich on August 24, with daytime highs around 22–25°C under mostly clear to scattered-cloud conditions. This narrow range near seasonal norms—driven by radiative cooling under light easterly winds, moderate humidity, and the absence of strong frontal systems—explains why trader-implied odds split nearly evenly between sub-7°C and 16°C+ outcomes. Ensemble variability in European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs introduces uncertainty around boundary-layer mixing and any late-day cloud cover that could suppress minimums, while historical August lows average 13°C with rare excursions below 8°C. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions