Current forecast guidance from multiple models, including WeatherBug and Met Office runs, points to a daily minimum near 29–30°C for Jeddah on August 24, consistent with the August climatological average of 27–28°C and recent August 2026 observations showing overnight lows mostly 28–31°C. Persistent northwest winds off the Red Sea, combined with high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, are maintaining these levels with little day-to-day variability expected through the short term. The near-even market split between ≤23°C and ≥33°C reflects trader uncertainty around potential model divergence on boundary-layer mixing or unexpected clear-sky radiative effects, though no major synoptic shift is indicated in the next 48 hours. Updated NHC/NOAA or local Saudi Met analyses could refine this ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日吉達最低溫度?
23°C或以下 97%
33°C或以上 96%
24°C 36%
25°C 36%
23°C或以下
97%
24°C
36%
25°C
36%
26°C
36%
27°C
36%
28°C
19%
29°C
17%
30°C
19%
31°C
19%
32°C
19%
33°C或以上
96%
23°C或以下 97%
33°C或以上 96%
24°C 36%
25°C 36%
23°C或以下
97%
24°C
36%
25°C
36%
26°C
36%
27°C
36%
28°C
19%
29°C
17%
30°C
19%
31°C
19%
32°C
19%
33°C或以上
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast guidance from multiple models, including WeatherBug and Met Office runs, points to a daily minimum near 29–30°C for Jeddah on August 24, consistent with the August climatological average of 27–28°C and recent August 2026 observations showing overnight lows mostly 28–31°C. Persistent northwest winds off the Red Sea, combined with high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, are maintaining these levels with little day-to-day variability expected through the short term. The near-even market split between ≤23°C and ≥33°C reflects trader uncertainty around potential model divergence on boundary-layer mixing or unexpected clear-sky radiative effects, though no major synoptic shift is indicated in the next 48 hours. Updated NHC/NOAA or local Saudi Met analyses could refine this ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions