**Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office, GFS, and other models indicate an overnight low in London on August 24 likely between 13–16 °C, with the tightest clustering around 13–15 °C.** This range aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities (14 °C at 39 %, 13 °C at 25.5 %, 15 °C at 24 %), reflecting trader consensus on radiative cooling under high pressure (1020–1025 hPa) and light northeast-to-east winds that limit mixing. Partly cloudy skies and dew points near 10–11 °C support efficient surface cooling after sunset, while the absence of significant cloud cover or precipitation overnight favors the lower end of the range. August 2026 has run warmer than the long-term August mean, but recent model runs show the warm anomaly easing, consistent with typical late-summer diurnal ranges of 8–10 °C under settled conditions. Key upcoming updates include the next Met Office and ECMWF runs, which could refine the exact minimum if wind or cloud forecasts shift. Resolution will be based on the official recorded minimum at a designated London station, making these near-term model trends the dominant driver of current odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日倫敦的最低溫度？
8月24日倫敦的最低溫度？
14°C 40%
13°C 26%
15°C 24%
12°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
10°C或以下
5%
11°C
5%
12°C
8%
13°C
26%
14°C
40%
15°C
24%
16°C
8%
17°C
5%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C或以上
1%
14°C 40%
13°C 26%
15°C 24%
12°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
10°C或以下
$5 交易量
5%
11°C
$30 交易量
5%
12°C
$0 交易量
8%
13°C
$59 交易量
26%
14°C
$182 交易量
40%
15°C
$32 交易量
24%
16°C
$0 交易量
8%
17°C
$0 交易量
5%
18°C
$5 交易量
2%
19°C
$5 交易量
2%
20°C或以上
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office, GFS, and other models indicate an overnight low in London on August 24 likely between 13–16 °C, with the tightest clustering around 13–15 °C.** This range aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities (14 °C at 39 %, 13 °C at 25.5 %, 15 °C at 24 %), reflecting trader consensus on radiative cooling under high pressure (1020–1025 hPa) and light northeast-to-east winds that limit mixing.
Partly cloudy skies and dew points near 10–11 °C support efficient surface cooling after sunset, while the absence of significant cloud cover or precipitation overnight favors the lower end of the range. August 2026 has run warmer than the long-term August mean, but recent model runs show the warm anomaly easing, consistent with typical late-summer diurnal ranges of 8–10 °C under settled conditions.
Key upcoming updates include the next Met Office and ECMWF runs, which could refine the exact minimum if wind or cloud forecasts shift. Resolution will be based on the official recorded minimum at a designated London station, making these near-term model trends the dominant driver of current odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 2:28 AM ET
交易量
$322結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 2:28 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office, GFS, and other models indicate an overnight low in London on August 24 likely between 13–16 °C, with the tightest clustering around 13–15 °C.** This range aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities (14 °C at 39 %, 13 °C at 25.5 %, 15 °C at 24 %), reflecting trader consensus on radiative cooling under high pressure (1020–1025 hPa) and light northeast-to-east winds that limit mixing.
Partly cloudy skies and dew points near 10–11 °C support efficient surface cooling after sunset, while the absence of significant cloud cover or precipitation overnight favors the lower end of the range. August 2026 has run warmer than the long-term August mean, but recent model runs show the warm anomaly easing, consistent with typical late-summer diurnal ranges of 8–10 °C under settled conditions.
Key upcoming updates include the next Met Office and ECMWF runs, which could refine the exact minimum if wind or cloud forecasts shift. Resolution will be based on the official recorded minimum at a designated London station, making these near-term model trends the dominant driver of current odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$322結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 2:28 AM ET**Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office, GFS, and other models indicate an overnight low in London on August 24 likely between 13–16 °C, with the tightest clustering around 13–15 °C.** This range aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities (14 °C at 39 %, 13 °C at 25.5 %, 15 °C at 24 %), reflecting trader consensus on radiative cooling under high pressure (1020–1025 hPa) and light northeast-to-east winds that limit mixing. Partly cloudy skies and dew points near 10–11 °C support efficient surface cooling after sunset, while the absence of significant cloud cover or precipitation overnight favors the lower end of the range. August 2026 has run warmer than the long-term August mean, but recent model runs show the warm anomaly easing, consistent with typical late-summer diurnal ranges of 8–10 °C under settled conditions. Key upcoming updates include the next Met Office and ECMWF runs, which could refine the exact minimum if wind or cloud forecasts shift. Resolution will be based on the official recorded minimum at a designated London station, making these near-term model trends the dominant driver of current odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions