Trader consensus centers on 12°C as London's lowest temperature for August 22, driven by the latest Met Office forecast models showing overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds. Late-August climatology typically yields minima near 13–14°C, yet current ensemble guidance indicates a modest cool anomaly from a transient high-pressure ridge favoring efficient heat loss after sunset. Key variables include potential increases in cloud cover or wind that could limit the drop, with official resolution tied to verified readings from central London stations. Updated model runs overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日倫敦的最低溫度？
8月22日倫敦的最低溫度？
12°C 55%
13°C 26%
11°C 11%
14°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
9°C或以下
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
11%
12°C
55%
13°C
26%
14°C
6%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C或以上
<1%
12°C 55%
13°C 26%
11°C 11%
14°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
9°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
10°C
$16 交易量
1%
11°C
$197 交易量
11%
12°C
$1,248 交易量
55%
13°C
$450 交易量
26%
14°C
$53 交易量
6%
15°C
$127 交易量
1%
16°C
$32 交易量
1%
17°C
$32 交易量
<1%
18°C
$32 交易量
<1%
19°C或以上
$271 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 12°C as London's lowest temperature for August 22, driven by the latest Met Office forecast models showing overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds. Late-August climatology typically yields minima near 13–14°C, yet current ensemble guidance indicates a modest cool anomaly from a transient high-pressure ridge favoring efficient heat loss after sunset. Key variables include potential increases in cloud cover or wind that could limit the drop, with official resolution tied to verified readings from central London stations. Updated model runs overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$2,457結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 12°C as London's lowest temperature for August 22, driven by the latest Met Office forecast models showing overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds. Late-August climatology typically yields minima near 13–14°C, yet current ensemble guidance indicates a modest cool anomaly from a transient high-pressure ridge favoring efficient heat loss after sunset. Key variables include potential increases in cloud cover or wind that could limit the drop, with official resolution tied to verified readings from central London stations. Updated model runs overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,457結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETTrader consensus centers on 12°C as London's lowest temperature for August 22, driven by the latest Met Office forecast models showing overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds. Late-August climatology typically yields minima near 13–14°C, yet current ensemble guidance indicates a modest cool anomaly from a transient high-pressure ridge favoring efficient heat loss after sunset. Key variables include potential increases in cloud cover or wind that could limit the drop, with official resolution tied to verified readings from central London stations. Updated model runs overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions