**Latest forecast models indicate mostly clear skies and light winds over London overnight into August 23, favoring radiative cooling that supports minimum temperatures near 12–13°C.** Met Office guidance projects a 14°C low under dry conditions following northerly flow, while other ensembles show potential for slightly stronger cooling to 10–11°C if winds remain calm and cloud cover stays minimal. These factors—clear nocturnal skies allowing efficient heat loss, combined with drier air masses—explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 12°C (41.5%) and 13°C (37.5%). Minor model variations in wind speed or residual moisture could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, with updated runs and observational data expected to refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日倫敦的最低溫度？
8月23日倫敦的最低溫度？
13°C 35%
12°C 34%
14°C 16%
11°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
8°C或以下
4%
9°C
5%
10°C
7%
11°C
11%
12°C
34%
13°C
35%
14°C
16%
15°C
5%
16°C
6%
17°C
2%
18°C或以上
<1%
13°C 35%
12°C 34%
14°C 16%
11°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
8°C或以下
$5 交易量
4%
9°C
$5 交易量
5%
10°C
$5 交易量
7%
11°C
$131 交易量
11%
12°C
$513 交易量
34%
13°C
$1,056 交易量
35%
14°C
$392 交易量
16%
15°C
$257 交易量
5%
16°C
$66 交易量
6%
17°C
$35 交易量
2%
18°C或以上
$71 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecast models indicate mostly clear skies and light winds over London overnight into August 23, favoring radiative cooling that supports minimum temperatures near 12–13°C.**
Met Office guidance projects a 14°C low under dry conditions following northerly flow, while other ensembles show potential for slightly stronger cooling to 10–11°C if winds remain calm and cloud cover stays minimal. These factors—clear nocturnal skies allowing efficient heat loss, combined with drier air masses—explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 12°C (41.5%) and 13°C (37.5%). Minor model variations in wind speed or residual moisture could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, with updated runs and observational data expected to refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,440結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecast models indicate mostly clear skies and light winds over London overnight into August 23, favoring radiative cooling that supports minimum temperatures near 12–13°C.**
Met Office guidance projects a 14°C low under dry conditions following northerly flow, while other ensembles show potential for slightly stronger cooling to 10–11°C if winds remain calm and cloud cover stays minimal. These factors—clear nocturnal skies allowing efficient heat loss, combined with drier air masses—explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 12°C (41.5%) and 13°C (37.5%). Minor model variations in wind speed or residual moisture could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, with updated runs and observational data expected to refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,440結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Latest forecast models indicate mostly clear skies and light winds over London overnight into August 23, favoring radiative cooling that supports minimum temperatures near 12–13°C.** Met Office guidance projects a 14°C low under dry conditions following northerly flow, while other ensembles show potential for slightly stronger cooling to 10–11°C if winds remain calm and cloud cover stays minimal. These factors—clear nocturnal skies allowing efficient heat loss, combined with drier air masses—explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 12°C (41.5%) and 13°C (37.5%). Minor model variations in wind speed or residual moisture could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, with updated runs and observational data expected to refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions