Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance converge on a maximum of 21–23°C for London on 22 August, with limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This tight clustering explains the near-even market weighting between those two outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover or timing of any weak fronts can shift the peak by 1–2°C. The broader August climatology (mean daily maximum near 22°C) and the season’s overall warmth provide a modest upward bias, yet current synoptic patterns favor values near the lower end of the typical range. Traders will monitor the next high-resolution runs and official updates through the weekend for any model consensus shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日倫敦的最高溫度？
8月22日倫敦的最高溫度？
22°C 36%
23°C 27%
21°C 26%
24°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
18°C or below
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
9%
21°C
36%
22°C
36%
23°C
23%
24°C
12%
25°C
11%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
1%
22°C 36%
23°C 27%
21°C 26%
24°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
18°C or below
$5 交易量
2%
19°C
$5 交易量
4%
20°C
$11 交易量
9%
21°C
$240 交易量
36%
22°C
$113 交易量
36%
23°C
$133 交易量
23%
24°C
$0 交易量
12%
25°C
$10 交易量
11%
26°C
$10 交易量
2%
27°C
$0 交易量
<1%
28°C or higher
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance converge on a maximum of 21–23°C for London on 22 August, with limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This tight clustering explains the near-even market weighting between those two outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover or timing of any weak fronts can shift the peak by 1–2°C. The broader August climatology (mean daily maximum near 22°C) and the season’s overall warmth provide a modest upward bias, yet current synoptic patterns favor values near the lower end of the typical range. Traders will monitor the next high-resolution runs and official updates through the weekend for any model consensus shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$533結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance converge on a maximum of 21–23°C for London on 22 August, with limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This tight clustering explains the near-even market weighting between those two outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover or timing of any weak fronts can shift the peak by 1–2°C. The broader August climatology (mean daily maximum near 22°C) and the season’s overall warmth provide a modest upward bias, yet current synoptic patterns favor values near the lower end of the typical range. Traders will monitor the next high-resolution runs and official updates through the weekend for any model consensus shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$533結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent Met Office and ensemble model guidance converge on a maximum of 21–23°C for London on 22 August, with limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This tight clustering explains the near-even market weighting between those two outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover or timing of any weak fronts can shift the peak by 1–2°C. The broader August climatology (mean daily maximum near 22°C) and the season’s overall warmth provide a modest upward bias, yet current synoptic patterns favor values near the lower end of the typical range. Traders will monitor the next high-resolution runs and official updates through the weekend for any model consensus shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions