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icon for 8月24日米蘭的最低溫度?

8月24日米蘭的最低溫度?

icon for 8月24日米蘭的最低溫度?

8月24日米蘭的最低溫度?

22°C or higher 91%

12°C or below 86%

13°C 34%

20°C 34%

Polymarket
最新

22°C or higher 91%

12°C or below 86%

13°C 34%

20°C 34%

Polymarket
最新

12°C or below

$5 交易量

86%

13°C

$5 交易量

34%

14°C

$4 交易量

18%

15°C

$0 交易量

18%

16°C

$0 交易量

18%

17°C

$0 交易量

19%

18°C

$0 交易量

27%

19°C

$0 交易量

20%

20°C

$5 交易量

34%

21°C

$5 交易量

34%

22°C or higher

$5 交易量

91%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a minimum temperature in Milan on August 24 around 20–22°C, consistent with typical late-summer conditions under stable high pressure.** Light easterly or northeasterly winds and mostly clear skies through much of the day and early night are expected to allow moderate radiative cooling after sunset, while elevated dew points near 17–19°C limit how far temperatures can drop. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 12°C or below and 22°C or higher reflects uncertainty around key variables that control overnight minima. These include the exact timing and coverage of any incoming clouds or scattered thunderstorms (noted in several models for the evening or overnight period), subtle shifts in wind speed that could enhance or suppress mixing, and the strength of the urban heat island effect in the city center. Clear, calm conditions favor lower readings closer to 18–20°C through enhanced longwave radiation loss, whereas increased cloud cover or moisture advection would keep the minimum nearer 22°C or above by trapping heat near the surface. Historical August lows in Milan average near 18°C, so the current consensus sits slightly above normal due to the warm, humid airmass in place. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range by clarifying cloud and precipitation trends that most directly influence the final minimum.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$29
結束日期
2026-08-24
市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a minimum temperature in Milan on August 24 around 20–22°C, consistent with typical late-summer conditions under stable high pressure.** Light easterly or northeasterly winds and mostly clear skies through much of the day and early night are expected to allow moderate radiative cooling after sunset, while elevated dew points near 17–19°C limit how far temperatures can drop. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 12°C or below and 22°C or higher reflects uncertainty around key variables that control overnight minima. These include the exact timing and coverage of any incoming clouds or scattered thunderstorms (noted in several models for the evening or overnight period), subtle shifts in wind speed that could enhance or suppress mixing, and the strength of the urban heat island effect in the city center. Clear, calm conditions favor lower readings closer to 18–20°C through enhanced longwave radiation loss, whereas increased cloud cover or moisture advection would keep the minimum nearer 22°C or above by trapping heat near the surface. Historical August lows in Milan average near 18°C, so the current consensus sits slightly above normal due to the warm, humid airmass in place. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range by clarifying cloud and precipitation trends that most directly influence the final minimum.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$29
結束日期
2026-08-24
市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"8月24日米蘭的最低溫度?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "22°C or higher" at 46%, followed by "12°C or below" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"8月24日米蘭的最低溫度?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "8月24日米蘭的最低溫度?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "8月24日米蘭的最低溫度?" is "22°C or higher" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "12°C or below" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "8月24日米蘭的最低溫度?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.