Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office, GFS, and local models indicate maximum temperatures in Milan on August 24 will likely peak near 28–29°C under stable high pressure, light easterly winds, and mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions through the afternoon. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for those exact thresholds, as 84°F (29°C) readings appear in multiple 10-day outlooks with minimal precipitation risk during peak heating hours. Minor model spread around 27–31°C reflects typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects, though no major shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours. Updated runs from ECMWF and NOAA agencies ahead of the 24th will provide the next key data points for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日米蘭的最高溫度?
28°C 37%
27°C 28%
29°C 24%
26°C 6%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
18%
28°C
37%
29°C
24%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
3%
28°C 37%
27°C 28%
29°C 24%
26°C 6%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
18%
28°C
37%
29°C
24%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office, GFS, and local models indicate maximum temperatures in Milan on August 24 will likely peak near 28–29°C under stable high pressure, light easterly winds, and mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions through the afternoon. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for those exact thresholds, as 84°F (29°C) readings appear in multiple 10-day outlooks with minimal precipitation risk during peak heating hours. Minor model spread around 27–31°C reflects typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects, though no major shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours. Updated runs from ECMWF and NOAA agencies ahead of the 24th will provide the next key data points for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions