Traders see near-even odds between a low of 17°C or below and 27°C or higher because late-August forecasts for Ankara currently cluster around an overnight minimum near 17°C amid typical continental cooling. Clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure regime allow strong radiative heat loss after sunset, while Ankara’s elevation and dry air amplify the diurnal range, often dropping temperatures 15–18°C below daytime maxima. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and local meteorological guidance points to continued fair weather through the 24th with minimal cloud cover or advection to moderate the drop, yet small shifts in wind direction or humidity could push the minimum either below 17°C or hold it several degrees higher. Historical August lows average near 16–18°C, underscoring how the current setup sits at the edge of normal variability without strong synoptic forcing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日安卡拉最低溫度?
27°C或更高 86%
23°C 70%
26°C 70%
21°C 68%
17°C或以下
48%
18°C
44%
19°C
22%
20°C
44%
21°C
68%
22°C
32%
23°C
70%
24°C
66%
25°C
68%
26°C
70%
27°C或更高
86%
27°C或更高 86%
23°C 70%
26°C 70%
21°C 68%
17°C或以下
48%
18°C
44%
19°C
22%
20°C
44%
21°C
68%
22°C
32%
23°C
70%
24°C
66%
25°C
68%
26°C
70%
27°C或更高
86%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders see near-even odds between a low of 17°C or below and 27°C or higher because late-August forecasts for Ankara currently cluster around an overnight minimum near 17°C amid typical continental cooling. Clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure regime allow strong radiative heat loss after sunset, while Ankara’s elevation and dry air amplify the diurnal range, often dropping temperatures 15–18°C below daytime maxima. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and local meteorological guidance points to continued fair weather through the 24th with minimal cloud cover or advection to moderate the drop, yet small shifts in wind direction or humidity could push the minimum either below 17°C or hold it several degrees higher. Historical August lows average near 16–18°C, underscoring how the current setup sits at the edge of normal variability without strong synoptic forcing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions