Trader consensus reflects notable uncertainty in overnight minimum temperatures for Ankara on August 23, with ECMWF and GFS model spreads centered near 15–18°C. Variable factors include the degree of radiative cooling under potentially clear skies versus moderating effects from cloud cover, light winds, or higher humidity that could prevent deeper drops. Late-August climatology shows typical minima around 16°C, providing baseline context for the closely bunched leading outcomes. Any incoming frontal system or changes in boundary-layer conditions could tip results toward cooler or milder thresholds. Fresh model runs and observational updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日安卡拉最低溫度?
19°C 31%
15°C或以下 31%
17°C 30%
18°C 22%
15°C或以下
31%
16°C
20%
17°C
30%
18°C
22%
19°C
20%
20°C
19%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C或以上
<1%
19°C 31%
15°C或以下 31%
17°C 30%
18°C 22%
15°C或以下
31%
16°C
20%
17°C
30%
18°C
22%
19°C
20%
20°C
19%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus reflects notable uncertainty in overnight minimum temperatures for Ankara on August 23, with ECMWF and GFS model spreads centered near 15–18°C. Variable factors include the degree of radiative cooling under potentially clear skies versus moderating effects from cloud cover, light winds, or higher humidity that could prevent deeper drops. Late-August climatology shows typical minima around 16°C, providing baseline context for the closely bunched leading outcomes. Any incoming frontal system or changes in boundary-layer conditions could tip results toward cooler or milder thresholds. Fresh model runs and observational updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions