Current forecast models place Jeddah’s peak temperature for August 24 in the upper 30s °C, with ensemble guidance showing modest day-to-day variability driven by Red Sea moisture, light northwesterly winds, and urban heat-island effects. Historical August maxima average near 38 °C, yet coastal moderation and occasional haze can shave 1–2 °C off peaks, explaining why the 37 °C and 38 °C bins command the highest implied probabilities. Persistent high humidity and sea-surface temperatures near 31 °C limit further intensification, while any strengthening of offshore flow or clearer skies could push readings toward 39–40 °C. Traders are therefore focused on the next high-resolution model runs and the official Saudi meteorological station reading that will determine the exact daily maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日吉達的最高溫度?
38°C 31%
37°C 26%
39°C 20%
36°C 16%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
11%
36°C
16%
37°C
26%
38°C
31%
39°C
20%
40°C或以上
13%
38°C 31%
37°C 26%
39°C 20%
36°C 16%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
11%
36°C
16%
37°C
26%
38°C
31%
39°C
20%
40°C或以上
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models place Jeddah’s peak temperature for August 24 in the upper 30s °C, with ensemble guidance showing modest day-to-day variability driven by Red Sea moisture, light northwesterly winds, and urban heat-island effects. Historical August maxima average near 38 °C, yet coastal moderation and occasional haze can shave 1–2 °C off peaks, explaining why the 37 °C and 38 °C bins command the highest implied probabilities. Persistent high humidity and sea-surface temperatures near 31 °C limit further intensification, while any strengthening of offshore flow or clearer skies could push readings toward 39–40 °C. Traders are therefore focused on the next high-resolution model runs and the official Saudi meteorological station reading that will determine the exact daily maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions