Recent ECMWF and KNMI model runs indicate a modest westerly flow and partly cloudy conditions over the Netherlands, keeping maximum 2-meter temperatures in Amsterdam near the seasonal norm of 21–22°C for late August. Ensemble members cluster tightly around these values because forecast uncertainty remains low only 48 hours ahead, with minor differences driven by variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and slight shifts in the position of a weak surface trough. Historical climatology shows August highs declining gradually from 22°C early in the month, supporting the current market-implied odds where 22°C edges 21°C as the leading outcome. Updated guidance expected from the next model cycle could refine these probabilities further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
8月24日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
22°C 45%
21°C 38%
20°C 13%
23°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
17°C或以下
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
13%
21°C
38%
22°C
45%
23°C
8%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C或以上
2%
22°C 45%
21°C 38%
20°C 13%
23°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
17°C或以下
$15 交易量
1%
18°C
$15 交易量
1%
19°C
$5 交易量
3%
20°C
$239 交易量
13%
21°C
$109 交易量
38%
22°C
$163 交易量
45%
23°C
$10 交易量
8%
24°C
$13 交易量
4%
25°C
$20 交易量
2%
26°C
$5 交易量
4%
27°C或以上
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and KNMI model runs indicate a modest westerly flow and partly cloudy conditions over the Netherlands, keeping maximum 2-meter temperatures in Amsterdam near the seasonal norm of 21–22°C for late August. Ensemble members cluster tightly around these values because forecast uncertainty remains low only 48 hours ahead, with minor differences driven by variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and slight shifts in the position of a weak surface trough. Historical climatology shows August highs declining gradually from 22°C early in the month, supporting the current market-implied odds where 22°C edges 21°C as the leading outcome. Updated guidance expected from the next model cycle could refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
交易量
$599結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and KNMI model runs indicate a modest westerly flow and partly cloudy conditions over the Netherlands, keeping maximum 2-meter temperatures in Amsterdam near the seasonal norm of 21–22°C for late August. Ensemble members cluster tightly around these values because forecast uncertainty remains low only 48 hours ahead, with minor differences driven by variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and slight shifts in the position of a weak surface trough. Historical climatology shows August highs declining gradually from 22°C early in the month, supporting the current market-implied odds where 22°C edges 21°C as the leading outcome. Updated guidance expected from the next model cycle could refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$599結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETRecent ECMWF and KNMI model runs indicate a modest westerly flow and partly cloudy conditions over the Netherlands, keeping maximum 2-meter temperatures in Amsterdam near the seasonal norm of 21–22°C for late August. Ensemble members cluster tightly around these values because forecast uncertainty remains low only 48 hours ahead, with minor differences driven by variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and slight shifts in the position of a weak surface trough. Historical climatology shows August highs declining gradually from 22°C early in the month, supporting the current market-implied odds where 22°C edges 21°C as the leading outcome. Updated guidance expected from the next model cycle could refine these probabilities further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions