Recent forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv on August 24 around 24–26°C under stable high-pressure conditions, with light northwest winds and clear to partly cloudy skies moderating coastal temperatures via Mediterranean sea breezes. This aligns with typical late-summer climatology, where minimums rarely dip below 23°C absent a stronger cold advection event. Market-implied odds favoring 20°C or below (45%) likely reflect trader emphasis on model spread and potential for localized cooling, while probabilities clustered near 24–25°C (around 27% each) capture the consensus range; higher outcomes above 27°C remain discounted given the absence of heatwave signals. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日特拉維夫的最低溫度？
8月24日特拉維夫的最低溫度？
20°C or below 95%
30°C or higher 50%
21°C 47%
24°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
20°C or below
95%
21°C
47%
22°C
24%
23°C
24%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
24%
27°C
19%
28°C
5%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
50%
20°C or below 95%
30°C or higher 50%
21°C 47%
24°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
20°C or below
$5 交易量
95%
21°C
$5 交易量
47%
22°C
$0 交易量
24%
23°C
$0 交易量
24%
24°C
$0 交易量
27%
25°C
$0 交易量
27%
26°C
$0 交易量
24%
27°C
$4 交易量
19%
28°C
$4 交易量
5%
29°C
$5 交易量
8%
30°C or higher
$5 交易量
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv on August 24 around 24–26°C under stable high-pressure conditions, with light northwest winds and clear to partly cloudy skies moderating coastal temperatures via Mediterranean sea breezes. This aligns with typical late-summer climatology, where minimums rarely dip below 23°C absent a stronger cold advection event. Market-implied odds favoring 20°C or below (45%) likely reflect trader emphasis on model spread and potential for localized cooling, while probabilities clustered near 24–25°C (around 27% each) capture the consensus range; higher outcomes above 27°C remain discounted given the absence of heatwave signals. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
交易量
$28結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv on August 24 around 24–26°C under stable high-pressure conditions, with light northwest winds and clear to partly cloudy skies moderating coastal temperatures via Mediterranean sea breezes. This aligns with typical late-summer climatology, where minimums rarely dip below 23°C absent a stronger cold advection event. Market-implied odds favoring 20°C or below (45%) likely reflect trader emphasis on model spread and potential for localized cooling, while probabilities clustered near 24–25°C (around 27% each) capture the consensus range; higher outcomes above 27°C remain discounted given the absence of heatwave signals. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$28結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv on August 24 around 24–26°C under stable high-pressure conditions, with light northwest winds and clear to partly cloudy skies moderating coastal temperatures via Mediterranean sea breezes. This aligns with typical late-summer climatology, where minimums rarely dip below 23°C absent a stronger cold advection event. Market-implied odds favoring 20°C or below (45%) likely reflect trader emphasis on model spread and potential for localized cooling, while probabilities clustered near 24–25°C (around 27% each) capture the consensus range; higher outcomes above 27°C remain discounted given the absence of heatwave signals. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions