Current forecast guidance for Tel Aviv points to a minimum temperature near 25°C on August 23, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with warm sea-surface temperatures moderating overnight cooling and light northerly winds limiting advection of cooler air. Historical climatology shows August overnight lows averaging 24–26°C, with readings of 21°C or below occurring only on the cooler tail of the distribution. Short-range model consensus remains stable with no major synoptic shifts expected in the next 48 hours, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could produce 1–2°C deviations. Traders appear to assign notable implied probability to the lower tail, consistent with the range of possible model outcomes and resolution criteria based on official meteorological observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日特拉維夫的最低溫度?
31°C or higher 24.6%
25°C 20%
26°C 20%
24°C 19%
21°C or below
7%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
20%
26°C
20%
27°C
19%
28°C
19%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
25%
31°C or higher 24.6%
25°C 20%
26°C 20%
24°C 19%
21°C or below
7%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
20%
26°C
20%
27°C
19%
28°C
19%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance for Tel Aviv points to a minimum temperature near 25°C on August 23, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with warm sea-surface temperatures moderating overnight cooling and light northerly winds limiting advection of cooler air. Historical climatology shows August overnight lows averaging 24–26°C, with readings of 21°C or below occurring only on the cooler tail of the distribution. Short-range model consensus remains stable with no major synoptic shifts expected in the next 48 hours, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could produce 1–2°C deviations. Traders appear to assign notable implied probability to the lower tail, consistent with the range of possible model outcomes and resolution criteria based on official meteorological observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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