Current meteorological forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models indicate a maximum of 31–32 °C for Tel Aviv on August 23, driven by persistent Mediterranean summer conditions of clear skies, light westerly winds, and moderating sea-breeze effects that limit daytime heating near the coast. These align with late-August climatology averaging near 31 °C, with minimal precipitation risk and no incoming fronts or heatwave signals in recent model runs. Trader consensus favors 32 °C at 65 % implied probability, followed by 33 °C at 30.5 %, reflecting tight clustering around official guidance while acknowledging minor model spread and measurement timing uncertainty at official stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
32°C 65%
33°C 31%
31°C 5%
30°C 2%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
65%
33°C
31%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 65%
33°C 31%
31°C 5%
30°C 2%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
65%
33°C
31%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models indicate a maximum of 31–32 °C for Tel Aviv on August 23, driven by persistent Mediterranean summer conditions of clear skies, light westerly winds, and moderating sea-breeze effects that limit daytime heating near the coast. These align with late-August climatology averaging near 31 °C, with minimal precipitation risk and no incoming fronts or heatwave signals in recent model runs. Trader consensus favors 32 °C at 65 % implied probability, followed by 33 °C at 30.5 %, reflecting tight clustering around official guidance while acknowledging minor model spread and measurement timing uncertainty at official stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions