Current Met Office and AccuWeather guidance for late August shows London under settled high-pressure influence with mostly sunny intervals and light winds, supporting a daytime maximum near the long-term average of 22°C. Ensemble models indicate modest warming potential from diurnal heating under clear skies, tempered by Atlantic airflow that limits extreme excursions. The tight clustering around 21–23°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing on the 24th, with only modest odds on 24°C or higher given the absence of strong southerly advection or heatwave setups seen earlier in the season. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日倫敦的最高溫度?
21°C 32%
22°C 32%
23°C 15%
20°C 14%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C
14%
21°C
32%
22°C
32%
23°C
15%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
2%
21°C 32%
22°C 32%
23°C 15%
20°C 14%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C
14%
21°C
32%
22°C
32%
23°C
15%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current Met Office and AccuWeather guidance for late August shows London under settled high-pressure influence with mostly sunny intervals and light winds, supporting a daytime maximum near the long-term average of 22°C. Ensemble models indicate modest warming potential from diurnal heating under clear skies, tempered by Atlantic airflow that limits extreme excursions. The tight clustering around 21–23°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing on the 24th, with only modest odds on 24°C or higher given the absence of strong southerly advection or heatwave setups seen earlier in the season. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions