**Current short-range forecast guidance from major models places Moscow’s overnight low on August 22 near 11–12 °C, with trader-implied odds reflecting the tight clustering around these values amid modest model spread.** A weak frontal boundary and variable mid-level cloud cover are the dominant factors modulating minimum temperatures: clearer intervals would enhance radiative cooling and favor readings near or below 11 °C, while increased cloudiness or light precipitation would limit cooling and support 12–13 °C outcomes. Light northerly flow is expected to advect marginally cooler continental air, but wind speeds remain modest, reducing turbulent mixing that could otherwise elevate the minimum. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 12–13 °C, so the current setup sits slightly below average. Resolution hinges on the precise timing and extent of any cloud shield or shower activity on the night of the 21st–22nd; updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will narrow the remaining uncertainty among the closely matched contracts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日莫斯科最低溫度？
8月22日莫斯科最低溫度？
11°C 50%
6°C or below 46%
12°C 44%
13°C 44%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
6°C or below
46%
7°C
39%
8°C
42%
9°C
41%
10°C
28%
11°C
50%
12°C
44%
13°C
44%
14°C
42%
15°C
41%
16°C or higher
42%
11°C 50%
6°C or below 46%
12°C 44%
13°C 44%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
6°C or below
$10 交易量
46%
7°C
$15 交易量
39%
8°C
$10 交易量
42%
9°C
$10 交易量
41%
10°C
$10 交易量
28%
11°C
$10 交易量
50%
12°C
$20 交易量
44%
13°C
$10 交易量
44%
14°C
$10 交易量
42%
15°C
$10 交易量
41%
16°C or higher
$15 交易量
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecast guidance from major models places Moscow’s overnight low on August 22 near 11–12 °C, with trader-implied odds reflecting the tight clustering around these values amid modest model spread.** A weak frontal boundary and variable mid-level cloud cover are the dominant factors modulating minimum temperatures: clearer intervals would enhance radiative cooling and favor readings near or below 11 °C, while increased cloudiness or light precipitation would limit cooling and support 12–13 °C outcomes. Light northerly flow is expected to advect marginally cooler continental air, but wind speeds remain modest, reducing turbulent mixing that could otherwise elevate the minimum. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 12–13 °C, so the current setup sits slightly below average. Resolution hinges on the precise timing and extent of any cloud shield or shower activity on the night of the 21st–22nd; updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will narrow the remaining uncertainty among the closely matched contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
交易量
$130結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecast guidance from major models places Moscow’s overnight low on August 22 near 11–12 °C, with trader-implied odds reflecting the tight clustering around these values amid modest model spread.** A weak frontal boundary and variable mid-level cloud cover are the dominant factors modulating minimum temperatures: clearer intervals would enhance radiative cooling and favor readings near or below 11 °C, while increased cloudiness or light precipitation would limit cooling and support 12–13 °C outcomes. Light northerly flow is expected to advect marginally cooler continental air, but wind speeds remain modest, reducing turbulent mixing that could otherwise elevate the minimum. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 12–13 °C, so the current setup sits slightly below average. Resolution hinges on the precise timing and extent of any cloud shield or shower activity on the night of the 21st–22nd; updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will narrow the remaining uncertainty among the closely matched contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$130結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current short-range forecast guidance from major models places Moscow’s overnight low on August 22 near 11–12 °C, with trader-implied odds reflecting the tight clustering around these values amid modest model spread.** A weak frontal boundary and variable mid-level cloud cover are the dominant factors modulating minimum temperatures: clearer intervals would enhance radiative cooling and favor readings near or below 11 °C, while increased cloudiness or light precipitation would limit cooling and support 12–13 °C outcomes. Light northerly flow is expected to advect marginally cooler continental air, but wind speeds remain modest, reducing turbulent mixing that could otherwise elevate the minimum. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 12–13 °C, so the current setup sits slightly below average. Resolution hinges on the precise timing and extent of any cloud shield or shower activity on the night of the 21st–22nd; updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will narrow the remaining uncertainty among the closely matched contracts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions