Current forecasts for Taipei place the August 22 minimum near 26°C, consistent with climatological August lows of 25–27°C amid high humidity and frequent showers. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 25–28°C because model runs show limited cooling from persistent cloud cover and weak winds, which reduce overnight radiative heat loss. Recent Central Weather Administration guidance indicates ongoing thunderstorm activity through the weekend, potentially shifting the exact low by 1–2°C depending on timing of precipitation and any brief clear spells. With no strong typhoon signals or anomalous pressure patterns in the latest guidance, the narrow spread in market-implied odds reflects this typical late-summer variability and the short forecast horizon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日臺北氣溫最低?
26°C 36%
27°C 33%
31°C or higher 26%
25°C 25%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
24%
23°C
23%
24°C
24%
25°C
25%
26°C
36%
27°C
33%
28°C
23%
29°C
24%
30°C
24%
31°C or higher
26%
26°C 36%
27°C 33%
31°C or higher 26%
25°C 25%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
24%
23°C
23%
24°C
24%
25°C
25%
26°C
36%
27°C
33%
28°C
23%
29°C
24%
30°C
24%
31°C or higher
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts for Taipei place the August 22 minimum near 26°C, consistent with climatological August lows of 25–27°C amid high humidity and frequent showers. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 25–28°C because model runs show limited cooling from persistent cloud cover and weak winds, which reduce overnight radiative heat loss. Recent Central Weather Administration guidance indicates ongoing thunderstorm activity through the weekend, potentially shifting the exact low by 1–2°C depending on timing of precipitation and any brief clear spells. With no strong typhoon signals or anomalous pressure patterns in the latest guidance, the narrow spread in market-implied odds reflects this typical late-summer variability and the short forecast horizon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions