Current short-range forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Istanbul on August 22 most likely falling between 21–23°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light northerly winds and clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with seasonal August norms for the region, where overnight lows typically range 19–23°C amid daytime highs near 29–31°C, with limited model spread just 48 hours out reducing uncertainty around exact resolution thresholds. Recent observations show no incoming cold fronts or significant moisture that would drive sharper drops, keeping trader consensus centered on these values while acknowledging minor local urban heat island effects or measurement site variations could influence the final recorded low.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日伊斯坦布爾最低溫度?
28°C or higher 41%
18°C or below 33%
22°C 28%
24°C 28%
18°C or below
33%
19°C
26%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
28%
23°C
45%
24°C
28%
25°C
25%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C or higher
41%
28°C or higher 41%
18°C or below 33%
22°C 28%
24°C 28%
18°C or below
33%
19°C
26%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
28%
23°C
45%
24°C
28%
25°C
25%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C or higher
41%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Istanbul on August 22 most likely falling between 21–23°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light northerly winds and clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with seasonal August norms for the region, where overnight lows typically range 19–23°C amid daytime highs near 29–31°C, with limited model spread just 48 hours out reducing uncertainty around exact resolution thresholds. Recent observations show no incoming cold fronts or significant moisture that would drive sharper drops, keeping trader consensus centered on these values while acknowledging minor local urban heat island effects or measurement site variations could influence the final recorded low.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions