Trader consensus centers on a 25–27°C minimum for Shenzhen on August 22, aligning with late-summer subtropical monsoon norms where average overnight lows reach 26°C amid humidity above 75% and persistent cloud cover that curbs radiative cooling. Forecasts indicating limited rainfall and light winds support the 63.5% implied probability for 27°C by allowing modest warming, while isolated thunderstorms or overcast skies enhance evaporative cooling and elevate odds for 26°C or 25°C. Official August climatology shows typical lows near 26°C with highs of 32°C, and current model guidance for the day reinforces this narrow range without signals for extremes below 25°C or above 28°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日深圳最低溫度?
27°C 46%
25°C 33%
26°C 30%
23°C or below <1%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
33%
26°C
30%
27°C
46%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 46%
25°C 33%
26°C 30%
23°C or below <1%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
33%
26°C
30%
27°C
46%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus centers on a 25–27°C minimum for Shenzhen on August 22, aligning with late-summer subtropical monsoon norms where average overnight lows reach 26°C amid humidity above 75% and persistent cloud cover that curbs radiative cooling. Forecasts indicating limited rainfall and light winds support the 63.5% implied probability for 27°C by allowing modest warming, while isolated thunderstorms or overcast skies enhance evaporative cooling and elevate odds for 26°C or 25°C. Official August climatology shows typical lows near 26°C with highs of 32°C, and current model guidance for the day reinforces this narrow range without signals for extremes below 25°C or above 28°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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