Recent forecasts from global and regional models highlight light northeasterly winds overnight combined with clear skies and low humidity, promoting radiative cooling that supports a minimum near 18°C for Madrid on August 22. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 17–19°C, where traders weigh subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point forecasts. Surface observations from recent days show similar nocturnal cooling under stable high pressure, while climatological averages place the date's typical low at 18.8°C. Any increase in cloud cover or wind speed above 5 m/s could limit the drop, but current guidance shows minimal precipitation risk and steady high pressure through the period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日馬德裏最低氣溫？
8月22日馬德裏最低氣溫？
18°C 52%
19°C 25%
17°C 23%
16°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
13°C or below
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
8%
16°C
10%
17°C
28%
18°C
43%
19°C
31%
20°C
10%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
1%
18°C 52%
19°C 25%
17°C 23%
16°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
13°C or below
$43 交易量
1%
14°C
$23 交易量
2%
15°C
$29 交易量
8%
16°C
$75 交易量
10%
17°C
$29 交易量
28%
18°C
$76 交易量
43%
19°C
$29 交易量
31%
20°C
$46 交易量
10%
21°C
$49 交易量
3%
22°C
$42 交易量
3%
23°C or higher
$23 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models highlight light northeasterly winds overnight combined with clear skies and low humidity, promoting radiative cooling that supports a minimum near 18°C for Madrid on August 22. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 17–19°C, where traders weigh subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point forecasts. Surface observations from recent days show similar nocturnal cooling under stable high pressure, while climatological averages place the date's typical low at 18.8°C. Any increase in cloud cover or wind speed above 5 m/s could limit the drop, but current guidance shows minimal precipitation risk and steady high pressure through the period.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
交易量
$465結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models highlight light northeasterly winds overnight combined with clear skies and low humidity, promoting radiative cooling that supports a minimum near 18°C for Madrid on August 22. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 17–19°C, where traders weigh subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point forecasts. Surface observations from recent days show similar nocturnal cooling under stable high pressure, while climatological averages place the date's typical low at 18.8°C. Any increase in cloud cover or wind speed above 5 m/s could limit the drop, but current guidance shows minimal precipitation risk and steady high pressure through the period.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$465結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETRecent forecasts from global and regional models highlight light northeasterly winds overnight combined with clear skies and low humidity, promoting radiative cooling that supports a minimum near 18°C for Madrid on August 22. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 17–19°C, where traders weigh subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point forecasts. Surface observations from recent days show similar nocturnal cooling under stable high pressure, while climatological averages place the date's typical low at 18.8°C. Any increase in cloud cover or wind speed above 5 m/s could limit the drop, but current guidance shows minimal precipitation risk and steady high pressure through the period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions