Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance shows a low near 72°F for New York City on August 20, with model consensus favoring mild overnight conditions under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Warmer-than-average August temperatures, driven by persistent high pressure and above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the western Atlantic, have kept overnight minima elevated compared with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 67°F. Traders assign the highest implied probability to the 72–73°F bin because ensemble runs cluster there, while slight model spread on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing accounts for the near-even odds between the 70–71°F and 74–75°F outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will refine the final reading used for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月20日紐約市的最低溫度？
8月20日紐約市的最低溫度？
72-73°F 44%
70-71°F 35%
74-75°F 31%
78-79°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
61°F或以下
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
35%
72-73°F
44%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
11%
華氏80度或以上
2%
72-73°F 44%
70-71°F 35%
74-75°F 31%
78-79°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
61°F或以下
$0 交易量
1%
62-63°F
$5 交易量
1%
64-65°F
$5 交易量
4%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
7%
68-69°F
$20 交易量
11%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
35%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
44%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
31%
76-77°F
$20 交易量
10%
78-79°F
$5 交易量
11%
華氏80度或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance shows a low near 72°F for New York City on August 20, with model consensus favoring mild overnight conditions under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Warmer-than-average August temperatures, driven by persistent high pressure and above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the western Atlantic, have kept overnight minima elevated compared with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 67°F. Traders assign the highest implied probability to the 72–73°F bin because ensemble runs cluster there, while slight model spread on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing accounts for the near-even odds between the 70–71°F and 74–75°F outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will refine the final reading used for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
交易量
$55結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance shows a low near 72°F for New York City on August 20, with model consensus favoring mild overnight conditions under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Warmer-than-average August temperatures, driven by persistent high pressure and above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the western Atlantic, have kept overnight minima elevated compared with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 67°F. Traders assign the highest implied probability to the 72–73°F bin because ensemble runs cluster there, while slight model spread on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing accounts for the near-even odds between the 70–71°F and 74–75°F outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will refine the final reading used for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$55結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance shows a low near 72°F for New York City on August 20, with model consensus favoring mild overnight conditions under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Warmer-than-average August temperatures, driven by persistent high pressure and above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the western Atlantic, have kept overnight minima elevated compared with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 67°F. Traders assign the highest implied probability to the 72–73°F bin because ensemble runs cluster there, while slight model spread on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing accounts for the near-even odds between the 70–71°F and 74–75°F outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will refine the final reading used for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions