Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) cloud cover and scattered showers over Manila are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the daily minimum temperature tightly clustered near 26–27°C for August 22. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts show overnight lows of 26–28°C amid high humidity (80–90%) and moderate southwesterly winds that suppress temperature drops, while any brief clear intervals could allow brief radiative cooling toward 25°C. Historical August climatology places typical minima at 24–26°C, but ongoing El Niño-enhanced moisture and recent monsoon easing introduce modest uncertainty in model runs. Traders are weighting the 25–27°C outcomes most heavily as fresh model guidance and PAGASA updates arrive ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日馬尼拉的最低溫度？
8月22日馬尼拉的最低溫度？
27°C 33%
26°C 29%
25°C 28%
28°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
21°C或以下
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
24%
25°C
28%
26°C
29%
27°C
33%
28°C
25%
29°C
24%
30°C
22%
31°C或以上
2%
27°C 33%
26°C 29%
25°C 28%
28°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
21°C或以下
$47 交易量
1%
22°C
$45 交易量
2%
23°C
$85 交易量
2%
24°C
$0 交易量
24%
25°C
$1 交易量
28%
26°C
$0 交易量
29%
27°C
$0 交易量
33%
28°C
$0 交易量
25%
29°C
$0 交易量
24%
30°C
$37 交易量
22%
31°C或以上
$28 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) cloud cover and scattered showers over Manila are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the daily minimum temperature tightly clustered near 26–27°C for August 22. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts show overnight lows of 26–28°C amid high humidity (80–90%) and moderate southwesterly winds that suppress temperature drops, while any brief clear intervals could allow brief radiative cooling toward 25°C. Historical August climatology places typical minima at 24–26°C, but ongoing El Niño-enhanced moisture and recent monsoon easing introduce modest uncertainty in model runs. Traders are weighting the 25–27°C outcomes most heavily as fresh model guidance and PAGASA updates arrive ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
交易量
$242結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:34 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) cloud cover and scattered showers over Manila are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the daily minimum temperature tightly clustered near 26–27°C for August 22. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts show overnight lows of 26–28°C amid high humidity (80–90%) and moderate southwesterly winds that suppress temperature drops, while any brief clear intervals could allow brief radiative cooling toward 25°C. Historical August climatology places typical minima at 24–26°C, but ongoing El Niño-enhanced moisture and recent monsoon easing introduce modest uncertainty in model runs. Traders are weighting the 25–27°C outcomes most heavily as fresh model guidance and PAGASA updates arrive ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$242結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:34 PM ETPersistent southwest monsoon (habagat) cloud cover and scattered showers over Manila are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the daily minimum temperature tightly clustered near 26–27°C for August 22. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts show overnight lows of 26–28°C amid high humidity (80–90%) and moderate southwesterly winds that suppress temperature drops, while any brief clear intervals could allow brief radiative cooling toward 25°C. Historical August climatology places typical minima at 24–26°C, but ongoing El Niño-enhanced moisture and recent monsoon easing introduce modest uncertainty in model runs. Traders are weighting the 25–27°C outcomes most heavily as fresh model guidance and PAGASA updates arrive ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions