Trader consensus clusters tightly around a 23–28°C minimum for Manila on August 21 because official forecasts from PAGASA and global models show overnight lows near 27°C under persistent southwest monsoon cloud cover and scattered showers. High humidity near 80–85% and light variable winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects in the metro area add slight warmth. Recent model runs indicate only modest day-to-day variability in cloud timing, keeping the precise minimum uncertain within the typical 1–2°C forecast envelope for tropical stations. Historical August climatology (mean low ~25–26°C) supports this narrow band, with negligible odds assigned to extremes below 23°C or above 28°C given current steering patterns and lack of strong cold-air intrusions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日馬尼拉的最低溫度？
8月21日馬尼拉的最低溫度？
23°C 34%
24°C 34%
25°C 34%
26°C 34%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
22°C or below
1%
23°C
34%
24°C
34%
25°C
34%
26°C
34%
27°C
34%
28°C
34%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
23°C 34%
24°C 34%
25°C 34%
26°C 34%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
22°C or below
$49 交易量
1%
23°C
$5 交易量
34%
24°C
$5 交易量
34%
25°C
$0 交易量
34%
26°C
$0 交易量
34%
27°C
$0 交易量
34%
28°C
$0 交易量
34%
29°C
$105 交易量
<1%
30°C
$105 交易量
<1%
31°C
$105 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$105 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around a 23–28°C minimum for Manila on August 21 because official forecasts from PAGASA and global models show overnight lows near 27°C under persistent southwest monsoon cloud cover and scattered showers. High humidity near 80–85% and light variable winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects in the metro area add slight warmth. Recent model runs indicate only modest day-to-day variability in cloud timing, keeping the precise minimum uncertain within the typical 1–2°C forecast envelope for tropical stations. Historical August climatology (mean low ~25–26°C) supports this narrow band, with negligible odds assigned to extremes below 23°C or above 28°C given current steering patterns and lack of strong cold-air intrusions.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
交易量
$479結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around a 23–28°C minimum for Manila on August 21 because official forecasts from PAGASA and global models show overnight lows near 27°C under persistent southwest monsoon cloud cover and scattered showers. High humidity near 80–85% and light variable winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects in the metro area add slight warmth. Recent model runs indicate only modest day-to-day variability in cloud timing, keeping the precise minimum uncertain within the typical 1–2°C forecast envelope for tropical stations. Historical August climatology (mean low ~25–26°C) supports this narrow band, with negligible odds assigned to extremes below 23°C or above 28°C given current steering patterns and lack of strong cold-air intrusions.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$479結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETTrader consensus clusters tightly around a 23–28°C minimum for Manila on August 21 because official forecasts from PAGASA and global models show overnight lows near 27°C under persistent southwest monsoon cloud cover and scattered showers. High humidity near 80–85% and light variable winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects in the metro area add slight warmth. Recent model runs indicate only modest day-to-day variability in cloud timing, keeping the precise minimum uncertain within the typical 1–2°C forecast envelope for tropical stations. Historical August climatology (mean low ~25–26°C) supports this narrow band, with negligible odds assigned to extremes below 23°C or above 28°C given current steering patterns and lack of strong cold-air intrusions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions