National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on August 22 project a high near 93°F under partly cloudy skies with a 30-40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 92-95°F, reflecting traders' assessment of limited additional warming amid increasing moisture and convective activity that can cap peak temperatures. Recent model runs show a cooling trend following early August heat, consistent with seasonal norms where Denver's average August high falls near 91°F. Key variables include exact timing of any storms, wind patterns, and cloud cover, all of which could shift the observed maximum within the narrow range favored by current sentiment. Updated NWS briefings and model outputs tomorrow morning represent the next major data points.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日丹佛的最高溫度?
92-93°F 35%
90-91°F 22%
94-95°F 20%
96-97°F 9%
85°F或以下
1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
22%
92-93°F
35%
94-95°F
20%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
2%
華氏104度或更高
1%
92-93°F 35%
90-91°F 22%
94-95°F 20%
96-97°F 9%
85°F或以下
1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
22%
92-93°F
35%
94-95°F
20%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
2%
華氏104度或更高
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on August 22 project a high near 93°F under partly cloudy skies with a 30-40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 92-95°F, reflecting traders' assessment of limited additional warming amid increasing moisture and convective activity that can cap peak temperatures. Recent model runs show a cooling trend following early August heat, consistent with seasonal norms where Denver's average August high falls near 91°F. Key variables include exact timing of any storms, wind patterns, and cloud cover, all of which could shift the observed maximum within the narrow range favored by current sentiment. Updated NWS briefings and model outputs tomorrow morning represent the next major data points.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions