**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other meteorological sources indicate an overnight low for Houston on August 22, 2026, in the upper 70s to low 80s°F.** This range aligns with the market's tightly clustered leading outcomes (78-79°F at 29%, 80-81°F at 28.5%, and nearby bins near 27%), reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum rather than a clear consensus. Persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 75°F, and high pressure maintaining mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight are the dominant drivers. These conditions limit radiational cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping much below recent climatological norms for late August. Minor variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or isolated thunderstorm activity could nudge the actual low by a degree or two, which explains the balanced probabilities across the 74-83°F bins. Models show limited disagreement, but real-time observations during the overnight period will ultimately determine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日休斯敦的最低溫度?
78-79°F 29%
74-75°F 28%
76-77°F 28%
82-83°F 28%
71°F或以下
<1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
華氏90度或以上
<1%
78-79°F 29%
74-75°F 28%
76-77°F 28%
82-83°F 28%
71°F或以下
<1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
華氏90度或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other meteorological sources indicate an overnight low for Houston on August 22, 2026, in the upper 70s to low 80s°F.** This range aligns with the market's tightly clustered leading outcomes (78-79°F at 29%, 80-81°F at 28.5%, and nearby bins near 27%), reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum rather than a clear consensus. Persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 75°F, and high pressure maintaining mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight are the dominant drivers. These conditions limit radiational cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping much below recent climatological norms for late August. Minor variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or isolated thunderstorm activity could nudge the actual low by a degree or two, which explains the balanced probabilities across the 74-83°F bins. Models show limited disagreement, but real-time observations during the overnight period will ultimately determine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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