Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts position 92–93°F as the leading outcome for Miami’s August 22 high, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with daytime heating tempered by Atlantic sea breezes and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Model consensus shows surface temperatures peaking near 91–93°F under partly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological August averages near 89°F but elevated by ongoing regional heat. Trader sentiment favors this narrow band over 94–95°F because no strong high-pressure ridge or suppressed convection is expected to push extremes higher, while lower bins like 90–91°F carry less weight given the current warmth and minimal cooling signals. Updated guidance on Friday or Saturday could refine probabilities ahead of the daily maximum reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日邁阿密的最高溫度?
92-93°F 56%
94-95°F 29%
90-91°F 16%
98-99°F 2%
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
56%
94-95°F
29%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
2%
100°F或更高
<1%
92-93°F 56%
94-95°F 29%
90-91°F 16%
98-99°F 2%
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
56%
94-95°F
29%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
2%
100°F或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts position 92–93°F as the leading outcome for Miami’s August 22 high, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with daytime heating tempered by Atlantic sea breezes and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Model consensus shows surface temperatures peaking near 91–93°F under partly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological August averages near 89°F but elevated by ongoing regional heat. Trader sentiment favors this narrow band over 94–95°F because no strong high-pressure ridge or suppressed convection is expected to push extremes higher, while lower bins like 90–91°F carry less weight given the current warmth and minimal cooling signals. Updated guidance on Friday or Saturday could refine probabilities ahead of the daily maximum reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions