Recent ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models indicate overnight lows in Istanbul on August 21 will likely settle near 19–22°C, driven by persistent high pressure, light northerly flow, and moderate humidity that limits radiative cooling while the Bosphorus and Black Sea exert a strong maritime moderating effect. These conditions produce tight clustering around 19–21°C outcomes because small variations in wind speed, cloud cover, or urban heat island intensity can shift the precise minimum by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows average overnight lows near 18–20°C, providing context for why traders see limited probability for extremes below 17°C or above 23°C absent a sudden frontal passage or clearer skies. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於伊斯坦布爾8月21日的最低溫度？
伊斯坦布爾8月21日的最低溫度？
19°C 35%
21°C 35%
20°C 34%
23°C 34%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
17°C or below
18%
18°C
34%
19°C
35%
20°C
34%
21°C
35%
22°C
34%
23°C
34%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
1%
19°C 35%
21°C 35%
20°C 34%
23°C 34%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
17°C or below
$104 交易量
18%
18°C
$81 交易量
34%
19°C
$0 交易量
35%
20°C
$0 交易量
34%
21°C
$0 交易量
35%
22°C
$16 交易量
34%
23°C
$0 交易量
34%
24°C
$227 交易量
1%
25°C
$435 交易量
1%
26°C
$937 交易量
<1%
27°C or higher
$288 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models indicate overnight lows in Istanbul on August 21 will likely settle near 19–22°C, driven by persistent high pressure, light northerly flow, and moderate humidity that limits radiative cooling while the Bosphorus and Black Sea exert a strong maritime moderating effect. These conditions produce tight clustering around 19–21°C outcomes because small variations in wind speed, cloud cover, or urban heat island intensity can shift the precise minimum by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows average overnight lows near 18–20°C, providing context for why traders see limited probability for extremes below 17°C or above 23°C absent a sudden frontal passage or clearer skies. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
交易量
$2,088結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models indicate overnight lows in Istanbul on August 21 will likely settle near 19–22°C, driven by persistent high pressure, light northerly flow, and moderate humidity that limits radiative cooling while the Bosphorus and Black Sea exert a strong maritime moderating effect. These conditions produce tight clustering around 19–21°C outcomes because small variations in wind speed, cloud cover, or urban heat island intensity can shift the precise minimum by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows average overnight lows near 18–20°C, providing context for why traders see limited probability for extremes below 17°C or above 23°C absent a sudden frontal passage or clearer skies. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,088結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models indicate overnight lows in Istanbul on August 21 will likely settle near 19–22°C, driven by persistent high pressure, light northerly flow, and moderate humidity that limits radiative cooling while the Bosphorus and Black Sea exert a strong maritime moderating effect. These conditions produce tight clustering around 19–21°C outcomes because small variations in wind speed, cloud cover, or urban heat island intensity can shift the precise minimum by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows average overnight lows near 18–20°C, providing context for why traders see limited probability for extremes below 17°C or above 23°C absent a sudden frontal passage or clearer skies. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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