Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models shows nighttime lows in Guangzhou clustering around 26–27°C for August 22 amid persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate rainfall that limit radiative cooling. High humidity and light easterly winds further moderate overnight temperature drops, consistent with typical late-August conditions where average lows hover near 26°C. Model spreads arise mainly from varying precipitation timing and intensity, creating the tight market split between the two leading outcomes while keeping lower or higher readings at single-digit probabilities. Updated model runs and local observatory briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日廣州最低溫度?
27°C 51%
26°C 36%
25°C 24%
28°C 21%
22°C或以下
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
24%
26°C
36%
27°C
38%
28°C
21%
29°C
7%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C或更高
2%
27°C 51%
26°C 36%
25°C 24%
28°C 21%
22°C或以下
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
24%
26°C
36%
27°C
38%
28°C
21%
29°C
7%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C或更高
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models shows nighttime lows in Guangzhou clustering around 26–27°C for August 22 amid persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate rainfall that limit radiative cooling. High humidity and light easterly winds further moderate overnight temperature drops, consistent with typical late-August conditions where average lows hover near 26°C. Model spreads arise mainly from varying precipitation timing and intensity, creating the tight market split between the two leading outcomes while keeping lower or higher readings at single-digit probabilities. Updated model runs and local observatory briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions