The dominant market consensus on 28°C reflects the official minimum temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on August 23, 2026, aligning with pre-event forecast models that projected overnight lows of 27–28°C amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions, scattered showers, and high humidity that limited radiational cooling. These readings fall within the seasonal baseline for August, when average overnight temperatures hover near 27°C according to long-term climatological data. Trader positioning draws from the reliability of Observatory instrumentation and model consensus showing no significant deviations from expected patterns. A shift would require an official revision to the recorded minimum or a different resolution criterion, both of which remain improbable given the clear observational record.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日香港最低溫度？
8月23日香港最低溫度？
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$24,034 交易量
$24,034 交易量
2026-08-23
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$24,034 交易量
$24,034 交易量
2026-08-23
21°C or below
$748 交易量
No
22°C
$1,374 交易量
No
23°C
$2,150 交易量
No
24°C
$2,129 交易量
No
25°C
$2,660 交易量
No
26°C
$1,819 交易量
No
27°C
$3,071 交易量
No
28°C
$5,802 交易量
Yes
29°C
$3,111 交易量
No
30°C
$769 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$400 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The dominant market consensus on 28°C reflects the official minimum temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on August 23, 2026, aligning with pre-event forecast models that projected overnight lows of 27–28°C amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions, scattered showers, and high humidity that limited radiational cooling. These readings fall within the seasonal baseline for August, when average overnight temperatures hover near 27°C according to long-term climatological data. Trader positioning draws from the reliability of Observatory instrumentation and model consensus showing no significant deviations from expected patterns. A shift would require an official revision to the recorded minimum or a different resolution criterion, both of which remain improbable given the clear observational record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$24,034結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The dominant market consensus on 28°C reflects the official minimum temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on August 23, 2026, aligning with pre-event forecast models that projected overnight lows of 27–28°C amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions, scattered showers, and high humidity that limited radiational cooling. These readings fall within the seasonal baseline for August, when average overnight temperatures hover near 27°C according to long-term climatological data. Trader positioning draws from the reliability of Observatory instrumentation and model consensus showing no significant deviations from expected patterns. A shift would require an official revision to the recorded minimum or a different resolution criterion, both of which remain improbable given the clear observational record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$24,034結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The dominant market consensus on 28°C reflects the official minimum temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on August 23, 2026, aligning with pre-event forecast models that projected overnight lows of 27–28°C amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions, scattered showers, and high humidity that limited radiational cooling. These readings fall within the seasonal baseline for August, when average overnight temperatures hover near 27°C according to long-term climatological data. Trader positioning draws from the reliability of Observatory instrumentation and model consensus showing no significant deviations from expected patterns. A shift would require an official revision to the recorded minimum or a different resolution criterion, both of which remain improbable given the clear observational record.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions