Persistent rain and thunderstorms forecast for Guangzhou on August 25 are the main driver keeping maximum temperatures suppressed near 31–32°C rather than the late-August climatological average of 33°C. Widespread cloud cover and precipitation reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, limiting afternoon heating despite typical subtropical humidity levels. Official guidance from multiple models shows highs clustered between 28–32°C with 70–90% rain chances, creating tight market-implied odds around 31–33°C as traders weigh the precise timing of heaviest showers and any model-to-model differences in boundary-layer moisture. Upcoming afternoon forecast updates will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日廣州最高溫度？
8月25日廣州最高溫度？
32°C 24%
33°C 24%
31°C 17%
34°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
13%
31°C
17%
32°C
24%
33°C
24%
34°C
15%
35°C或以上
4%
32°C 24%
33°C 24%
31°C 17%
34°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
25°C或以下
$198 交易量
<1%
26°C
$227 交易量
<1%
27°C
$568 交易量
<1%
28°C
$762 交易量
2%
29°C
$444 交易量
3%
30°C
$1,179 交易量
13%
31°C
$428 交易量
17%
32°C
$416 交易量
24%
33°C
$155 交易量
24%
34°C
$490 交易量
15%
35°C或以上
$215 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and thunderstorms forecast for Guangzhou on August 25 are the main driver keeping maximum temperatures suppressed near 31–32°C rather than the late-August climatological average of 33°C. Widespread cloud cover and precipitation reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, limiting afternoon heating despite typical subtropical humidity levels. Official guidance from multiple models shows highs clustered between 28–32°C with 70–90% rain chances, creating tight market-implied odds around 31–33°C as traders weigh the precise timing of heaviest showers and any model-to-model differences in boundary-layer moisture. Upcoming afternoon forecast updates will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$5,082結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and thunderstorms forecast for Guangzhou on August 25 are the main driver keeping maximum temperatures suppressed near 31–32°C rather than the late-August climatological average of 33°C. Widespread cloud cover and precipitation reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, limiting afternoon heating despite typical subtropical humidity levels. Official guidance from multiple models shows highs clustered between 28–32°C with 70–90% rain chances, creating tight market-implied odds around 31–33°C as traders weigh the precise timing of heaviest showers and any model-to-model differences in boundary-layer moisture. Upcoming afternoon forecast updates will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,082結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETPersistent rain and thunderstorms forecast for Guangzhou on August 25 are the main driver keeping maximum temperatures suppressed near 31–32°C rather than the late-August climatological average of 33°C. Widespread cloud cover and precipitation reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, limiting afternoon heating despite typical subtropical humidity levels. Official guidance from multiple models shows highs clustered between 28–32°C with 70–90% rain chances, creating tight market-implied odds around 31–33°C as traders weigh the precise timing of heaviest showers and any model-to-model differences in boundary-layer moisture. Upcoming afternoon forecast updates will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions