Current short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a maximum temperature near 32°C in Tokyo on August 24 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with the market's leading 32°C outcome at 37% implied probability. Late-August climatology features average highs of 31°C amid the strengthening Pacific high, though increased cloud cover and precipitation chances are expected to moderate peaks below recent heatwave levels. Ensemble guidance shows modest day-to-day variability, positioning 31–33°C as the highest-probability range while acknowledging typical model spread in urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer moisture.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日東京氣溫最高？
8月24日東京氣溫最高？
32°C 37%
33°C 23%
31°C 22%
30°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31°C
22%
32°C
37%
33°C
23%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
3%
32°C 37%
33°C 23%
31°C 22%
30°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
25°C or below
$1,100 交易量
<1%
26°C
$248 交易量
<1%
27°C
$5 交易量
1%
28°C
$0 交易量
1%
29°C
$8 交易量
4%
30°C
$48 交易量
7%
31°C
$7 交易量
22%
32°C
$53 交易量
37%
33°C
$31 交易量
23%
34°C
$16 交易量
7%
35°C or higher
$98 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a maximum temperature near 32°C in Tokyo on August 24 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with the market's leading 32°C outcome at 37% implied probability. Late-August climatology features average highs of 31°C amid the strengthening Pacific high, though increased cloud cover and precipitation chances are expected to moderate peaks below recent heatwave levels. Ensemble guidance shows modest day-to-day variability, positioning 31–33°C as the highest-probability range while acknowledging typical model spread in urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,615結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a maximum temperature near 32°C in Tokyo on August 24 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with the market's leading 32°C outcome at 37% implied probability. Late-August climatology features average highs of 31°C amid the strengthening Pacific high, though increased cloud cover and precipitation chances are expected to moderate peaks below recent heatwave levels. Ensemble guidance shows modest day-to-day variability, positioning 31–33°C as the highest-probability range while acknowledging typical model spread in urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,615結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a maximum temperature near 32°C in Tokyo on August 24 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with the market's leading 32°C outcome at 37% implied probability. Late-August climatology features average highs of 31°C amid the strengthening Pacific high, though increased cloud cover and precipitation chances are expected to moderate peaks below recent heatwave levels. Ensemble guidance shows modest day-to-day variability, positioning 31–33°C as the highest-probability range while acknowledging typical model spread in urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer moisture.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions