Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate mostly cloudy conditions over Tokyo on August 23, with a maximum temperature around 31–33°C and scattered shower chances that could moderate afternoon heating. This aligns with the normal August daily maximum of 30.7°C while reflecting above-average seasonal warmth driven by a strengthened Pacific High. Trader consensus clustering near 30–31°C reflects model agreement on limited solar insolation and typical urban heat retention, tempered by uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any localized convection. Ensemble spreads in global models highlight how small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind could push the daily peak across the 30–32°C threshold, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive until updated guidance narrows the range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日東京氣溫最高？
8月23日東京氣溫最高？
31°C 30%
30°C 29%
29°C 17%
32°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
8%
29°C
17%
30°C
29%
31°C
30%
32°C
16%
33°C
5%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 30%
30°C 29%
29°C 17%
32°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
25°C or below
$95 交易量
<1%
26°C
$95 交易量
1%
27°C
$5 交易量
4%
28°C
$7 交易量
8%
29°C
$6 交易量
17%
30°C
$5 交易量
29%
31°C
$23 交易量
30%
32°C
$11 交易量
16%
33°C
$0 交易量
5%
34°C
$0 交易量
5%
35°C or higher
$7 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate mostly cloudy conditions over Tokyo on August 23, with a maximum temperature around 31–33°C and scattered shower chances that could moderate afternoon heating. This aligns with the normal August daily maximum of 30.7°C while reflecting above-average seasonal warmth driven by a strengthened Pacific High. Trader consensus clustering near 30–31°C reflects model agreement on limited solar insolation and typical urban heat retention, tempered by uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any localized convection. Ensemble spreads in global models highlight how small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind could push the daily peak across the 30–32°C threshold, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive until updated guidance narrows the range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$253結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate mostly cloudy conditions over Tokyo on August 23, with a maximum temperature around 31–33°C and scattered shower chances that could moderate afternoon heating. This aligns with the normal August daily maximum of 30.7°C while reflecting above-average seasonal warmth driven by a strengthened Pacific High. Trader consensus clustering near 30–31°C reflects model agreement on limited solar insolation and typical urban heat retention, tempered by uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any localized convection. Ensemble spreads in global models highlight how small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind could push the daily peak across the 30–32°C threshold, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive until updated guidance narrows the range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$253結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETJapan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate mostly cloudy conditions over Tokyo on August 23, with a maximum temperature around 31–33°C and scattered shower chances that could moderate afternoon heating. This aligns with the normal August daily maximum of 30.7°C while reflecting above-average seasonal warmth driven by a strengthened Pacific High. Trader consensus clustering near 30–31°C reflects model agreement on limited solar insolation and typical urban heat retention, tempered by uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any localized convection. Ensemble spreads in global models highlight how small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind could push the daily peak across the 30–32°C threshold, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive until updated guidance narrows the range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions