Recent forecasts from NOAA and NWS place Miami’s August 23 high near 89–92 °F amid persistent heat and humidity, yet afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorms introduce meaningful uncertainty. Thunderstorm timing and coverage can deliver rain-cooled air that caps afternoon peaks or allow clearer slots for readings into the low 90s, explaining why market-implied odds cluster evenly across the 84–93 °F bands while assigning minimal probability to 94 °F or higher. Typical August climatology shows daily highs averaging 89 °F with limited variance absent major synoptic shifts, and current model consensus offers no strong signal for extreme deviation before the 23rd.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日邁阿密的最高溫度？
8月23日邁阿密的最高溫度？
92-93°F 45%
90-91°F 42%
88-89°F 7%
94-95°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
42%
92-93°F
45%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
3%
98°F或以上
1%
92-93°F 45%
90-91°F 42%
88-89°F 7%
94-95°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
79°F or below
$135 交易量
1%
80-81°F
$135 交易量
1%
82-83°F
$65 交易量
1%
84-85°F
$162 交易量
2%
86-87°F
$55 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$230 交易量
7%
90-91°F
$213 交易量
42%
92-93°F
$132 交易量
45%
94-95°F
$108 交易量
7%
96-97°F
$62 交易量
3%
98°F或以上
$30 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA and NWS place Miami’s August 23 high near 89–92 °F amid persistent heat and humidity, yet afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorms introduce meaningful uncertainty. Thunderstorm timing and coverage can deliver rain-cooled air that caps afternoon peaks or allow clearer slots for readings into the low 90s, explaining why market-implied odds cluster evenly across the 84–93 °F bands while assigning minimal probability to 94 °F or higher. Typical August climatology shows daily highs averaging 89 °F with limited variance absent major synoptic shifts, and current model consensus offers no strong signal for extreme deviation before the 23rd.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$1,327結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA and NWS place Miami’s August 23 high near 89–92 °F amid persistent heat and humidity, yet afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorms introduce meaningful uncertainty. Thunderstorm timing and coverage can deliver rain-cooled air that caps afternoon peaks or allow clearer slots for readings into the low 90s, explaining why market-implied odds cluster evenly across the 84–93 °F bands while assigning minimal probability to 94 °F or higher. Typical August climatology shows daily highs averaging 89 °F with limited variance absent major synoptic shifts, and current model consensus offers no strong signal for extreme deviation before the 23rd.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,327結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETRecent forecasts from NOAA and NWS place Miami’s August 23 high near 89–92 °F amid persistent heat and humidity, yet afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorms introduce meaningful uncertainty. Thunderstorm timing and coverage can deliver rain-cooled air that caps afternoon peaks or allow clearer slots for readings into the low 90s, explaining why market-implied odds cluster evenly across the 84–93 °F bands while assigning minimal probability to 94 °F or higher. Typical August climatology shows daily highs averaging 89 °F with limited variance absent major synoptic shifts, and current model consensus offers no strong signal for extreme deviation before the 23rd.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions