Forecast models from the National Weather Service and guidance such as GFS MOS indicate Miami overnight lows of 80–82 °F for the period ending August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with dew points near 76–78 °F. These conditions suppress the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping the daily minimum within the narrow 80–83 °F range that accounts for over three-quarters of current market-implied odds. Minor model spread in cloud cover and shower timing creates the tight contest between the 80–81 °F and 82–83 °F bins, while historical August climatology at Miami International Airport shows similar warm lows during comparable humid regimes. Official observations from KMIA will resolve the market once the calendar day ends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日邁阿密的最低溫度？
8月23日邁阿密的最低溫度？
80-81°F 43%
82-83°F 34%
78-79°F 14%
76-77°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
71°F或以下
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
43%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
華氏90度或以上
1%
80-81°F 43%
82-83°F 34%
78-79°F 14%
76-77°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
71°F或以下
$5 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$5 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$5 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
9%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
14%
80-81°F
$16 交易量
43%
82-83°F
$1 交易量
34%
84-85°F
$53 交易量
8%
86-87°F
$10 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$10 交易量
1%
華氏90度或以上
$10 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and guidance such as GFS MOS indicate Miami overnight lows of 80–82 °F for the period ending August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with dew points near 76–78 °F. These conditions suppress the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping the daily minimum within the narrow 80–83 °F range that accounts for over three-quarters of current market-implied odds. Minor model spread in cloud cover and shower timing creates the tight contest between the 80–81 °F and 82–83 °F bins, while historical August climatology at Miami International Airport shows similar warm lows during comparable humid regimes. Official observations from KMIA will resolve the market once the calendar day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$116結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and guidance such as GFS MOS indicate Miami overnight lows of 80–82 °F for the period ending August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with dew points near 76–78 °F. These conditions suppress the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping the daily minimum within the narrow 80–83 °F range that accounts for over three-quarters of current market-implied odds. Minor model spread in cloud cover and shower timing creates the tight contest between the 80–81 °F and 82–83 °F bins, while historical August climatology at Miami International Airport shows similar warm lows during comparable humid regimes. Official observations from KMIA will resolve the market once the calendar day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$116結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETForecast models from the National Weather Service and guidance such as GFS MOS indicate Miami overnight lows of 80–82 °F for the period ending August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with dew points near 76–78 °F. These conditions suppress the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping the daily minimum within the narrow 80–83 °F range that accounts for over three-quarters of current market-implied odds. Minor model spread in cloud cover and shower timing creates the tight contest between the 80–81 °F and 82–83 °F bins, while historical August climatology at Miami International Airport shows similar warm lows during comparable humid regimes. Official observations from KMIA will resolve the market once the calendar day ends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions