The southwest monsoon (habagat) remains the dominant driver of near-term conditions over Metro Manila, sustaining cloudy skies, scattered showers, and high humidity that moderate diurnal temperature ranges. PAGASA forecasts for August 24 show a low near 24°C paired with an 80% rain probability and highs around 31°C, consistent with climatological August norms of 24–26°C overnight minima. Persistent cloud cover and moisture advection suppress radiative cooling that would otherwise allow readings at or below 21°C, while also limiting daytime heating that could push the minimum anomalously high. Distant tropical systems add steering flow uncertainty but are not expected to alter the local regime before resolution. Traders appear split between entrenched monsoon moderation favoring mid-20s outcomes and residual variance around model spread or localized downpours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日馬尼拉的最低溫度？
8月24日馬尼拉的最低溫度？
21°C或以下 89%
31°C或更高 87%
29°C 51%
22°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
21°C或以下
89%
22°C
40%
23°C
25%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
26%
29°C
51%
30°C
5%
31°C或更高
87%
21°C或以下 89%
31°C或更高 87%
29°C 51%
22°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
21°C或以下
$5 交易量
89%
22°C
$5 交易量
40%
23°C
$0 交易量
25%
24°C
$0 交易量
26%
25°C
$0 交易量
27%
26°C
$0 交易量
27%
27°C
$0 交易量
28%
28°C
$0 交易量
26%
29°C
$5 交易量
51%
30°C
$5 交易量
5%
31°C或更高
$5 交易量
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon (habagat) remains the dominant driver of near-term conditions over Metro Manila, sustaining cloudy skies, scattered showers, and high humidity that moderate diurnal temperature ranges. PAGASA forecasts for August 24 show a low near 24°C paired with an 80% rain probability and highs around 31°C, consistent with climatological August norms of 24–26°C overnight minima. Persistent cloud cover and moisture advection suppress radiative cooling that would otherwise allow readings at or below 21°C, while also limiting daytime heating that could push the minimum anomalously high. Distant tropical systems add steering flow uncertainty but are not expected to alter the local regime before resolution. Traders appear split between entrenched monsoon moderation favoring mid-20s outcomes and residual variance around model spread or localized downpours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$25結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon (habagat) remains the dominant driver of near-term conditions over Metro Manila, sustaining cloudy skies, scattered showers, and high humidity that moderate diurnal temperature ranges. PAGASA forecasts for August 24 show a low near 24°C paired with an 80% rain probability and highs around 31°C, consistent with climatological August norms of 24–26°C overnight minima. Persistent cloud cover and moisture advection suppress radiative cooling that would otherwise allow readings at or below 21°C, while also limiting daytime heating that could push the minimum anomalously high. Distant tropical systems add steering flow uncertainty but are not expected to alter the local regime before resolution. Traders appear split between entrenched monsoon moderation favoring mid-20s outcomes and residual variance around model spread or localized downpours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThe southwest monsoon (habagat) remains the dominant driver of near-term conditions over Metro Manila, sustaining cloudy skies, scattered showers, and high humidity that moderate diurnal temperature ranges. PAGASA forecasts for August 24 show a low near 24°C paired with an 80% rain probability and highs around 31°C, consistent with climatological August norms of 24–26°C overnight minima. Persistent cloud cover and moisture advection suppress radiative cooling that would otherwise allow readings at or below 21°C, while also limiting daytime heating that could push the minimum anomalously high. Distant tropical systems add steering flow uncertainty but are not expected to alter the local regime before resolution. Traders appear split between entrenched monsoon moderation favoring mid-20s outcomes and residual variance around model spread or localized downpours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions