Recent forecast updates from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration show persistent low-pressure influences and southwest monsoon flow driving widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over Taipei on August 24, limiting solar insolation and evaporative cooling that typically allow peaks above 32°C in midsummer. Model consensus points to daytime highs most likely between 28–32°C, with higher probabilities for 29–31°C reflecting the balance between residual heat and frequent rain suppression. These conditions align with climatological patterns for late August, where humidity above 80% and afternoon convection reduce maximum temperatures by 2–4°C versus clearer days. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine land-sea breeze effects and any embedded convective timing ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日臺北氣溫最高?
31°C 22%
29°C 22%
30°C 19%
32°C or higher 19%
$11,764 交易量
$11,764 交易量
22°C or below
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
14%
29°C
22%
30°C
19%
31°C
22%
32°C or higher
19%
31°C 22%
29°C 22%
30°C 19%
32°C or higher 19%
$11,764 交易量
$11,764 交易量
22°C or below
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
14%
29°C
22%
30°C
19%
31°C
22%
32°C or higher
19%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast updates from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration show persistent low-pressure influences and southwest monsoon flow driving widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over Taipei on August 24, limiting solar insolation and evaporative cooling that typically allow peaks above 32°C in midsummer. Model consensus points to daytime highs most likely between 28–32°C, with higher probabilities for 29–31°C reflecting the balance between residual heat and frequent rain suppression. These conditions align with climatological patterns for late August, where humidity above 80% and afternoon convection reduce maximum temperatures by 2–4°C versus clearer days. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine land-sea breeze effects and any embedded convective timing ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions