Recent forecast guidance from sources like WeatherBug and regional Chinese meteorological models points to a highest temperature near 29–30°C in Qingdao on August 24, amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds, and a moderate chance of showers or thunderstorms that could limit daytime heating. Trader consensus favoring 31–33°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty at this short lead time, where small shifts in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, or regional pressure patterns could push maxima higher than the current consensus. Historical August averages near 29°C provide baseline context, while ongoing convective activity from the prior days adds variability to temperature profiles. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日青島氣溫最高？
8月24日青島氣溫最高？
32°C 36%
33°C 27%
31°C 22%
30°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
12%
30°C
13%
31°C
22%
32°C
36%
33°C
17%
34°C或以上
11%
32°C 36%
33°C 27%
31°C 22%
30°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
24°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
25°C
$0 交易量
<1%
26°C
$0 交易量
<1%
27°C
$0 交易量
1%
28°C
$0 交易量
1%
29°C
$5 交易量
12%
30°C
$0 交易量
13%
31°C
$0 交易量
22%
32°C
$8 交易量
36%
33°C
$11 交易量
17%
34°C或以上
$0 交易量
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from sources like WeatherBug and regional Chinese meteorological models points to a highest temperature near 29–30°C in Qingdao on August 24, amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds, and a moderate chance of showers or thunderstorms that could limit daytime heating. Trader consensus favoring 31–33°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty at this short lead time, where small shifts in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, or regional pressure patterns could push maxima higher than the current consensus. Historical August averages near 29°C provide baseline context, while ongoing convective activity from the prior days adds variability to temperature profiles. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$24結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from sources like WeatherBug and regional Chinese meteorological models points to a highest temperature near 29–30°C in Qingdao on August 24, amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds, and a moderate chance of showers or thunderstorms that could limit daytime heating. Trader consensus favoring 31–33°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty at this short lead time, where small shifts in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, or regional pressure patterns could push maxima higher than the current consensus. Historical August averages near 29°C provide baseline context, while ongoing convective activity from the prior days adds variability to temperature profiles. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$24結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from sources like WeatherBug and regional Chinese meteorological models points to a highest temperature near 29–30°C in Qingdao on August 24, amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds, and a moderate chance of showers or thunderstorms that could limit daytime heating. Trader consensus favoring 31–33°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty at this short lead time, where small shifts in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, or regional pressure patterns could push maxima higher than the current consensus. Historical August averages near 29°C provide baseline context, while ongoing convective activity from the prior days adds variability to temperature profiles. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions