Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC, timeanddate, and Met Office indicate minimum temperatures in Qingdao on August 24, 2026, around 24–27°C amid scattered thunderstorms, isolated showers, and moderate southerly flow. This unsettled pattern, with elevated humidity near 75–80% and cloud cover, supports the market-implied 45% probability on 22°C or below by limiting overnight radiative cooling while allowing for localized cooling from precipitation. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 23–24°C, providing context for trader emphasis on variability in current model guidance. Key upcoming drivers include updated runs from global and regional models that could refine minimum thresholds ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日青島最低氣溫？
8月24日青島最低氣溫？
22°C或以下 96%
32°C或更高 47%
28°C 37%
23°C 36%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
22°C或以下
96%
23°C
36%
24°C
36%
25°C
36%
26°C
19%
27°C
19%
28°C
37%
29°C
2%
30°C
36%
31°C
36%
32°C或更高
47%
22°C或以下 96%
32°C或更高 47%
28°C 37%
23°C 36%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
22°C或以下
$0 交易量
96%
23°C
$0 交易量
36%
24°C
$0 交易量
36%
25°C
$0 交易量
36%
26°C
$18 交易量
19%
27°C
$0 交易量
19%
28°C
$0 交易量
37%
29°C
$0 交易量
2%
30°C
$0 交易量
36%
31°C
$0 交易量
36%
32°C或更高
$0 交易量
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC, timeanddate, and Met Office indicate minimum temperatures in Qingdao on August 24, 2026, around 24–27°C amid scattered thunderstorms, isolated showers, and moderate southerly flow. This unsettled pattern, with elevated humidity near 75–80% and cloud cover, supports the market-implied 45% probability on 22°C or below by limiting overnight radiative cooling while allowing for localized cooling from precipitation. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 23–24°C, providing context for trader emphasis on variability in current model guidance. Key upcoming drivers include updated runs from global and regional models that could refine minimum thresholds ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$18結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC, timeanddate, and Met Office indicate minimum temperatures in Qingdao on August 24, 2026, around 24–27°C amid scattered thunderstorms, isolated showers, and moderate southerly flow. This unsettled pattern, with elevated humidity near 75–80% and cloud cover, supports the market-implied 45% probability on 22°C or below by limiting overnight radiative cooling while allowing for localized cooling from precipitation. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 23–24°C, providing context for trader emphasis on variability in current model guidance. Key upcoming drivers include updated runs from global and regional models that could refine minimum thresholds ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$18結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources including the BBC, timeanddate, and Met Office indicate minimum temperatures in Qingdao on August 24, 2026, around 24–27°C amid scattered thunderstorms, isolated showers, and moderate southerly flow. This unsettled pattern, with elevated humidity near 75–80% and cloud cover, supports the market-implied 45% probability on 22°C or below by limiting overnight radiative cooling while allowing for localized cooling from precipitation. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 23–24°C, providing context for trader emphasis on variability in current model guidance. Key upcoming drivers include updated runs from global and regional models that could refine minimum thresholds ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions