Recent model consensus points to persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and southeasterly winds of 8–12 m/s moderating nighttime radiative cooling in Qingdao, keeping the minimum temperature for August 23 clustered near 25–26 °C. High humidity near 85–90 % and dew points around 24–25 °C further limit temperature drops, consistent with ensemble guidance showing little overnight clearing. Historical August baselines for the coastal station average 22–24 °C lows, yet the current synoptic pattern of lingering moisture from upstream disturbances has shifted trader-implied probabilities toward the warmer side of that range. Final adjustments will hinge on the next China Meteorological Administration update and any rapid changes in cloud thickness before local midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日青島最低氣溫?
26°C 37%
28°C 23%
23°C 20%
24°C 20%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
17%
24°C
20%
25°C
29%
26°C
33%
27°C
17%
28°C
23%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C或以上
<1%
26°C 37%
28°C 23%
23°C 20%
24°C 20%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
17%
24°C
20%
25°C
29%
26°C
33%
27°C
17%
28°C
23%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus points to persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and southeasterly winds of 8–12 m/s moderating nighttime radiative cooling in Qingdao, keeping the minimum temperature for August 23 clustered near 25–26 °C. High humidity near 85–90 % and dew points around 24–25 °C further limit temperature drops, consistent with ensemble guidance showing little overnight clearing. Historical August baselines for the coastal station average 22–24 °C lows, yet the current synoptic pattern of lingering moisture from upstream disturbances has shifted trader-implied probabilities toward the warmer side of that range. Final adjustments will hinge on the next China Meteorological Administration update and any rapid changes in cloud thickness before local midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions