Forecast models for Guangzhou on August 24 point to overnight lows near the long-term average of 25.3°C amid persistent monsoon rains and high humidity typical of the subtropical climate. Widespread cloud cover and precipitation limit radiative cooling overnight while suppressing daytime highs, narrowing the diurnal range and keeping minimum temperatures clustered between 24–28°C. Recent conditions with frequent thunderstorms and light winds have reinforced this moderation, consistent with historical patterns where August lows rarely drop below 23°C without stronger frontal systems. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because small variations in rainfall timing, local urban heat effects, or model consensus on steering flows could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, with new observational data and updated runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日廣州最低溫度?
24°C 34%
26°C 21%
27°C 21%
28°C 20%
20°C或以下
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
9%
24°C
34%
25°C
19%
26°C
21%
27°C
21%
28°C
20%
29°C
16%
30°C或以上
10%
24°C 34%
26°C 21%
27°C 21%
28°C 20%
20°C或以下
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
9%
24°C
34%
25°C
19%
26°C
21%
27°C
21%
28°C
20%
29°C
16%
30°C或以上
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models for Guangzhou on August 24 point to overnight lows near the long-term average of 25.3°C amid persistent monsoon rains and high humidity typical of the subtropical climate. Widespread cloud cover and precipitation limit radiative cooling overnight while suppressing daytime highs, narrowing the diurnal range and keeping minimum temperatures clustered between 24–28°C. Recent conditions with frequent thunderstorms and light winds have reinforced this moderation, consistent with historical patterns where August lows rarely drop below 23°C without stronger frontal systems. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because small variations in rainfall timing, local urban heat effects, or model consensus on steering flows could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, with new observational data and updated runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions